Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqCM:THCB.U using Excess Returns Model Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Tuscan Holdings is arrived at using the Excess Return Model. This approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate.
In the Excess Return Model the value of a firm can be written as the sum of capital invested currently in the firm and the present value of excess returns that the firm expects to make in the future.
The model is sensitive to the Return on Equity of the company versus the Cost of Equity, how these are calculated is detailed below the main calculation.
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Tuscan Holdings's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Tuscan Holdings has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Capital Markets industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Tuscan Holdings's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Tuscan Holdings's earnings growth to the United States of America market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Tuscan Holdings's revenue growth to the United States of America market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Tuscan Holdings is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Tuscan Holdings is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Tuscan Holdings's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Stephen A. Vogel is President at Twelve Seas Investment Company since May 2018 and serves as its Director since June 2018. Mr. Vogel has been Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Tuscan Holdings Corp. since November 5, 2018. Mr. Vogel is Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Tuscan Holdings Corp. II since March 5, 2019. Mr. Vogel served as a Director of NetSpend Holdings, Inc. from February 2011 to July 2013. Mr. Vogel has served as Chief Executive Officer of Grameen America, Inc., a not-for-profit company focused on providing micro-loans that financially empower low-income entrepreneurs, since November 2008. Mr. Vogel has served as Executive Chairman at Forum Merger Corp. since December 2016. He has served as General Partner of Vogel Partners, LLP, a private investment firm, since 1996. Mr. Vogel began his career in 1971 as President, CEO and Co-Founder of Synergy Gas Corp., a retail propane distribution company. During his 25-year tenure, Mr. Vogel grew Synergy to more than 250,000 customers, 2,700 employees and more than $300 million in annual revenue. Synergy Gas Corp. successfully completed 50 acquisitions during this time and increased its distribution base to 330 retail locations. After selling Synergy Gas Corp. to Northwestern Corp. in 1995, Mr. Vogel co-founded EntreCapital Partners, a private equity firm that focused on companies facing operational or management challenges, and served until 1999. Additionally, he was a venture Partner at EnerTech Capital Partners, an energy focused venture capital firm, from 1999 to 2002, and an operating Partner at Tri-Artisan Capital Partners, LLC, an investment bank, from 2004 to 2006. Mr. Vogel also served as CEO of Grameen America, a not-for-profit organization that provides microloans to low-income borrowers in the United States, from 2008 to 2013. He was on the Board of Netspend (NASDAQ: NTSP), a leader for prepaid stored value platforms, from 2011 to 2013. Mr. Vogel was a Member of the Board of Trustees at Montefiore Medical Center and Children’s Hospital for over 20 years and served on the Board of Trustees at Lighthouse International, a non-profit organization. Mr. Vogel is a past Trustee of the Horace Mann School and previously served on the Board of Directors of the National Propane Gas Association. Mr. Vogel received a BS degree from Syracuse University School of Management.
Insufficient data for Stephen to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Stephen to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in United States of America.
Chairman & CEO
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Tuscan Holdings board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Board of Directors
Chairman & CEO
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Tuscan Holdings Corp. does not have significant operations. It intends to enter into a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, recapitalization, reorganization, or other similar business combination with businesses and entities. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
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