Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqCM:AMCI.U using Excess Returns Model Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for AMCI Acquisition is arrived at using the Excess Return Model. This approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate.
In the Excess Return Model the value of a firm can be written as the sum of capital invested currently in the firm and the present value of excess returns that the firm expects to make in the future.
The model is sensitive to the Return on Equity of the company versus the Cost of Equity, how these are calculated is detailed below the main calculation.
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
AMCI Acquisition's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as AMCI Acquisition has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Capital Markets industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare AMCI Acquisition's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare AMCI Acquisition's earnings growth to the United States of America market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare AMCI Acquisition's revenue growth to the United States of America market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if AMCI Acquisition is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if AMCI Acquisition is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
AMCI Acquisition's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
AMCI Acquisition's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
AMCI Acquisition's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
AMCI Acquisition's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
AMCI Acquisition's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
Low level of unsold assets.
AMCI Acquisition has no debt, it does not need to be covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. William John Hunter, also known as Bill, is the Co-Owner at AMCI Sponsor LLC. He served as Director of Finance at Oroplata Resources, Inc. from June 2016 to March 14, 2017. Mr. Hunter has been President, Chief Executive Officer and Director of AMCI Acquisition Corp. since June 18, 2018 and serves as its Chief Financial Officer since 2016. He has been the Chief Financial Officer of AMCI Group since 2017, and since 2015. He served as Managing Director for Global Natural Resources Investment Banking Group at Nomura Holding America, Inc. Mr. Hunter led the Americas Banking team at Nomura Securities where he advised Mitsui in their acquisition of a minority interest in the Moatize Coal Mining complex from Vale and Globe Specialty Metals in their $3.1 billion merger of equals transaction with FerroAtlantica. Mr. Hunter served as a Managing Director of Global Natural Resources Investment Banking Group at Nomura Co. Ltd., and Nomura Holdings, Inc since November 11, 2013. From 1999 to 2015, Mr. Hunter worked as a Director or Managing Director at Nomura Securities, Dahlman Rose & Co, Jefferies & Company and TD Securities. He has joined Nomura's Global Natural Resources investment banking group where he focuses on coverage of companies in the mining sector. He has over 20 years of banking experience including senior roles Head of its global mining investment banking group and Teneo Capital where he focused on providing strategic advice to natural resources and industrial companies. Before Nomura, Mr. Hunter was Managing Director and head of global mining investment banking at Jefferies where he completed numerous transactions for companies like Alpha Natural Resources, Fortescue Metals Group and Murray Energy. Mr. Hunter is a seasoned financial executive with over 20 years of advisory and capital markets experience. During his career, he has been involved in over $20 billion of transactions in the natural resources and industrial industries. Mr. Hunter has been a Director of Oroplata Resources, Inc. June 10, 2016. He received his B.Sc. from DePaul University and an MBA with distinction from the Kellstadt School of Business at DePaul University in Chicago.
Insufficient data for Bill to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Bill to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the AMCI Acquisition management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
Executive Vice President
Executive Vice President
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the AMCI Acquisition board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Board of Directors
Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
AMCI Acquisition Corp. does not have significant operations. It intends to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses operating in the natural resource infrastructure, value chain, and logistics-related sectors. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Latrobe, Pennsylvania.
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