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Navigant Consulting, Inc. provides professional services worldwide. The last earnings update was 70 days ago. More info.
7 Day | 30 Day | 90 Day | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Navigant Consulting (NCI) | 0.1% | 0.4% | 19.1% | 29.2% | 42.8% | 98.9% |
US Professional Services | 0.6% | -0.2% | -0.1% | 17.6% | 45.2% | 79.4% |
US Market | 0.3% | -2.2% | -3.2% | 5.8% | 34.6% | 49.4% |
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Navigant Consulting.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Valuation Model | 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity | |
Levered Free Cash Flow | Average of 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See below |
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) | See below | 8.2% |
Perpetual Growth Rate | 10-Year US Government Bond Rate | 2.7% |
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Data Point | Calculation/ Source | Result |
---|---|---|
Risk-Free Rate | 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate | 2.7% |
Equity Risk Premium | S&P Global | 6% |
Professional Services Unlevered Beta | Simply Wall St/ S&P Global | 0.82 |
Re-levered Beta | = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.824 (1 + (1- 21%) (9.69%)) |
0.925 |
Levered Beta | Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm) |
0.92 |
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity |
= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (0.925 * 5.96%) |
8.24% |
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NYSE:NCI using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Navigant Consulting is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) | Source |
Present Value Discounted (@ 8.24%) |
|
---|---|---|---|
2020 | 50.45 | Analyst x1 | 46.60 |
2021 | 49.86 | Est @ -1.16% | 42.56 |
2022 | 49.87 | Est @ 0.01% | 39.32 |
2023 | 50.28 | Est @ 0.83% | 36.63 |
2024 | 50.98 | Est @ 1.4% | 34.31 |
2025 | 51.90 | Est @ 1.8% | 32.27 |
2026 | 52.98 | Est @ 2.08% | 30.43 |
2027 | 54.18 | Est @ 2.27% | 28.75 |
2028 | 55.49 | Est @ 2.41% | 27.21 |
2029 | 56.88 | Est @ 2.51% | 25.76 |
Present value of next 10 years cash flows | $343.00 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Terminal Value |
= FCF2029
× (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $56.88 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (8.24% – 2.73%) |
$1,060.26 |
Present Value of Terminal Value |
= Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $1,060.26 ÷ (1 + 8.24%)10 |
$480.29 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Total Equity Value |
= Present value of next 10 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
= $343.00 + $480.29 |
$823.29 |
Equity Value per Share (USD) |
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $823.29 / 38.29 |
$21.5 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Value per share (USD) | From above. | $21.50 |
Current discount | Discount to share price of
$27.99
= -1 x ($27.99 - $21.50) / $21.50 |
-30.2% |
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Earnings Per Share * | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in USD | $0.57 |
NYSE:NCI Share Price ** | NYSE (2019-10-10) in USD | $27.99 |
United States of America Professional Services Industry PE Ratio | Median Figure of 40 Publicly-Listed Professional Services Companies | 19x |
United States of America Market PE Ratio | Median Figure of 3,106 Publicly-Listed Companies | 17.4x |
* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.
** Primary Listing of Navigant Consulting.
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | = NYSE:NCI Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD) = 27.99 ÷ 0.57 |
49.23x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | See PE Ratio Section | 49.23x |
Net Income Annual Growth Rate | See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 3 Analysts |
26.7%per year |
United States of America Professional Services Industry PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 32 Publicly-Listed Professional Services Companies | 1.83x |
United States of America Market PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 2,127 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.45x |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PEG Ratio | = PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate = 49.23x ÷ 26.7% |
1.84x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Book Value per Share | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in USD | $16.93 |
NYSE:NCI Share Price * | NYSE (2019-10-10) in USD | $27.99 |
United States of America Professional Services Industry PB Ratio | Median Figure of 64 Publicly-Listed Professional Services Companies | 2.43x |
United States of America Market PB Ratio | Median Figure of 5,318 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.69x |
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PB Ratio | = NYSE:NCI Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD) = 27.99 ÷ 16.93 |
1.65x |
* Primary Listing of Navigant Consulting.
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value (per year) |
---|---|---|
NYSE:NCI Future Earnings Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 3 Analysts | 26.7% |
NYSE:NCI Future Revenue Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 3 Analysts | 5.4% |
United States of America Professional Services Industry Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 33.5% |
United States of America Professional Services Industry Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 7.2% |
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 14.6% |
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 7.3% |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (3 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-12-31 | 795 | 70 | 43 | 3 |
2019-12-31 | 764 | 72 | 43 | 1 |
2019-10-11 |
Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 729 | 1 | 24 |
2019-03-31 | 697 | 41 | 21 |
2018-12-31 | 673 | 38 | 15 |
2018-09-30 | 957 | 116 | 77 |
2018-06-30 | 648 | 125 | 33 |
2018-03-31 | 643 | 91 | 29 |
2017-12-31 | 637 | 103 | 31 |
2017-09-30 | 720 | 86 | 22 |
2017-06-30 | 793 | 99 | 34 |
2017-03-31 | 871 | 114 | 46 |
2016-12-31 | 620 | 109 | 18 |
2016-09-30 | 911 | 105 | 58 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (3 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
All data from Navigant Consulting Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in USD Millions) | EPS * | EPS High Estimate | EPS Low Estimate | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-12-31 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.00 |
2019-12-31 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.00 |
2019-10-11 |
Date (Data in USD Millions) | EPS * |
---|---|
2019-06-30 | 0.57 |
2019-03-31 | 0.49 |
2018-12-31 | 0.33 |
2018-09-30 | 1.71 |
2018-06-30 | 0.72 |
2018-03-31 | 0.63 |
2017-12-31 | 0.67 |
2017-09-30 | 0.48 |
2017-06-30 | 0.72 |
2017-03-31 | 0.98 |
2016-12-31 | 0.39 |
2016-09-30 | 1.22 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How has Navigant Consulting performed over the past 5 years?
All data from Navigant Consulting Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Net Income * | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 728.72 | 23.59 | 137.32 | |
2019-03-31 | 697.38 | 21.16 | 136.36 | |
2018-12-31 | 672.69 | 14.79 | 138.37 | |
2018-09-30 | 957.39 | 77.25 | 165.13 | |
2018-06-30 | 647.83 | 32.74 | 139.68 | |
2018-03-31 | 642.68 | 29.17 | 138.33 | |
2017-12-31 | 636.94 | 31.36 | 137.42 | |
2017-09-30 | 719.98 | 22.50 | 144.45 | |
2017-06-30 | 792.57 | 33.83 | 154.25 | |
2017-03-31 | 870.98 | 46.04 | 165.00 | |
2016-12-31 | 619.79 | 18.30 | 137.39 | |
2016-09-30 | 911.07 | 57.79 | 162.36 | |
2016-06-30 | 883.59 | 54.79 | 156.87 | |
2016-03-31 | 856.13 | 47.84 | 151.63 | |
2015-12-31 | 833.81 | 60.35 | 147.46 | |
2015-09-30 | 821.27 | 59.47 | 143.91 | |
2015-06-30 | 817.17 | 61.55 | 141.35 | |
2015-03-31 | 792.65 | -22.13 | 136.52 | |
2014-12-31 | 766.55 | -36.91 | 136.06 | |
2014-09-30 | 744.88 | -35.01 | 129.35 | |
2014-06-30 | 725.79 | -37.74 | 128.70 | |
2014-03-31 | 726.36 | 52.37 | 127.02 | |
2013-12-31 | 734.43 | 55.11 | 126.48 | |
2013-09-30 | 745.97 | 54.05 | 135.20 | |
2013-06-30 | 735.89 | 51.73 | 134.88 | |
2013-03-31 | 718.94 | 45.71 | 138.20 | |
2012-12-31 | 722.19 | 44.23 | 141.20 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How is Navigant Consulting's financial health and their level of debt?
All data from Navigant Consulting Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago.
Date (Data in USD Millions) | Total Equity | Total Debt | Cash & Short Term Investments |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 655.84 | 0.00 | 90.63 |
2019-03-31 | 661.66 | 0.00 | 107.22 |
2018-12-31 | 712.55 | 0.00 | 206.92 |
2018-09-30 | 764.31 | 0.00 | 277.43 |
2018-06-30 | 710.20 | 147.01 | 11.14 |
2018-03-31 | 692.71 | 184.33 | 6.65 |
2017-12-31 | 687.33 | 132.94 | 8.45 |
2017-09-30 | 655.41 | 176.74 | 9.01 |
2017-06-30 | 652.12 | 184.79 | 6.56 |
2017-03-31 | 645.47 | 178.35 | 9.13 |
2016-12-31 | 634.48 | 135.03 | 8.29 |
2016-09-30 | 625.69 | 161.21 | 7.04 |
2016-06-30 | 612.36 | 189.76 | 3.31 |
2016-03-31 | 603.20 | 211.52 | 3.41 |
2015-12-31 | 593.54 | 173.93 | 8.90 |
2015-09-30 | 581.96 | 146.81 | 4.02 |
2015-06-30 | 573.51 | 171.75 | 3.85 |
2015-03-31 | 564.50 | 179.16 | 1.99 |
2014-12-31 | 542.59 | 109.79 | 2.65 |
2014-09-30 | 537.01 | 158.17 | 4.25 |
2014-06-30 | 525.30 | 189.11 | 9.85 |
2014-03-31 | 603.10 | 121.16 | 2.74 |
2013-12-31 | 597.08 | 57.03 | 1.97 |
2013-09-30 | 584.98 | 110.39 | 3.52 |
2013-06-30 | 575.55 | 128.42 | 2.59 |
2013-03-31 | 564.39 | 165.14 | 2.94 |
2012-12-31 | 559.74 | 134.70 | 1.05 |
What is Navigant Consulting's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Annualized Dividend Yield | S&P Global Market Data | See Below |
Past Dividends per Share | Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments | See Below |
Future Dividends per Share Estimates | Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
United States of America Professional Services Industry Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 21 Stocks | 1.5% |
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 2016 Stocks | 2.5% |
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield | 10th Percentile | 0.8% |
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield | 25th Percentile | 1.5% |
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield | 75th Percentile | 3.8% |
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.
Date (Data in $) | Dividend per Share (annual) | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|
2020-12-31 | ||
2019-12-31 | ||
2019-10-11 |
Date (Data in $) | Dividend per share (annual) | Avg. Yield (%) |
---|---|---|
2019-07-23 | 0.200 | 0.732 |
2019-04-18 | 0.200 | 0.876 |
2019-02-12 | 0.200 | 0.953 |
2018-08-27 | 0.200 | 0.849 |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Ms. Julie M. Howard has been the Chairman of the Board at Navigant Consulting, Inc. since May 1, 2014 and has been its Chief Executive Officer since March 1, 2012. Ms. Howard is responsible for the development and implementation of Navigant Consulting Inc.’s long-term strategy and effective prioritization of resource allocation to realize long-term shareholder value. She served as the President of Navigant Consulting Inc. since February 27, 2006 and as its Chief Operating Officer since 2003, Executive Vice President from April 22, 2004 to February 27, 2006 and Vice President of Human Capital Officer from 2001 to 2003. She was responsible for the overall management of Navigant Consulting Inc.'s operations, including practice group operations, planning and human capital development. Her tenure with Navigant was began in 1998. Ms. Howard has 30 years of professional services experience, having served as a Consultant as well as holding several Corporate Management positions. She has worked for professional services firms since 1986. She began her career as a Consultant before serving in numerous management positions, primarily focused on business operations and human capital management. She has been a Director of ManpowerGroup Inc. since December 12, 2016. She serves on the Board of Directors for the Association of Management Consulting Firms, the Dean's Advisory Board of the Business School at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and the Board of Governors for the Metropolitan Planning Council of Chicago. Ms. Howard’s business experience and involvement with strategic and operational programs, development of growth and profitability initiatives and regular interaction with a wide range of corporate constituents. Ms. Howard has been an Independent Director of InnerWorkings Inc., since October 25, 2012. She has been a Director of Navigant Consulting, Inc. since March 2012. She served as a Director of Kemper Corporation since February 3, 2010 until May 6, 2015. Ms. Howard also serves on the Medical Center Board for Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children’s Hospital of Chicago and is a founding member of the Women’s Leadership and Mentoring Alliance (WLMA). She is also an active member of both the Council of Economic Advisors for Cook County, the Economic Club and The Commercial Club of Chicago. She is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin, with a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance. Ms. Howard continued her educational pursuits via completion of several Harvard Business School Executive Education programs, with a focus in Finance and Management. She completed the Corporate Governance program at Stanford University.
Average tenure and age of the Navigant Consulting management team in years:
Average tenure and age of the Navigant Consulting board of directors in years:
See our latest analysis for Navigant Consulting How Does Julie Howard's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies? … The graphic below shows how CEO compensation at Navigant Consulting has changed from year to year. … With a total shareholder return of 20% over three years, Navigant Consulting, Inc.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWe'll look at Navigant Consulting, Inc.'s (NYSE:NCI) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. … The formula for price to earnings is: Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS) Or for Navigant Consulting: P/E of 47.48 = $23.31 ÷ $0.49 (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) Is A High P/E Ratio Good? … All else being equal, it's better to pay a low price -- but as Warren Buffett said, 'It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.' How Does Navigant Consulting's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?
Simply Wall St - – Full article(NYSE:NCI) share price is up 47% in the last three years, slightly above the market return. … One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS). … During the three years of share price growth, Navigant Consulting actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 21% per year.
Simply Wall St - – Full article(NYSE:NCI) share price has gained 47% in three years, which is better than the average market return. … Over the last three years, Navigant Consulting failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 21% (annualized). … The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Navigant Consulting's share price and its historic fundamental data.
Simply Wall St - – Full article(NYSE:NCI) a good dividend stock? How would you know? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations. Some readers mightn't know much about Navigant Consulting's 0.9% dividend, as it has only been paying distributions for a year or so. The company also bought back stock equivalent to around 17% of market capitalisation this year. Before you buy any stock for its dividend however, you should always remember Warren Buffett's two rules: 1) Don't lose money, and 2) Remember rule #1. … Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. … Dividend Growth Potential The other half of the dividend investing equation is evaluating whether earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Over the long term, dividends need to grow at or above the rate of inflation, in order to maintain the recipient's purchasing power. Over the past five years, it looks as though Navigant Consulting's EPS have declined at around 15% a year. If earnings continue to decline, the dividend may come under pressure. Every investor should make an assessment of whether the company is taking steps to stabilise the situation. Conclusion Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleThe formula for return on equity is: Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity Or for Navigant Consulting: 3.6% = US$21m ÷ US$662m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) Most know that net profit is the total earnings after all expenses, but the concept of shareholders' equity is a little more complicated. … How Does Debt Impact Return On Equity? … Combining Navigant Consulting's Debt And Its 3.6% Return On Equity While Navigant Consulting does have some debt, with debt to equity of just 0.16, we wouldn't say debt is excessive.
Simply Wall St - – Full article(NYSE:NCI), you may well want to know whether insiders have been buying or selling. … But logic dictates you should pay some attention to whether insiders are buying or selling shares. … So we know that an insider sold shares at around the present share price of US$23.27
Simply Wall St - – Full article(NYSE:NCI) is a company with exceptional fundamental characteristics. … Upon building up an investment case for a stock, we should look at various aspects. … In the case of NCI, it
Simply Wall St - – Full articleSpecifically, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), since that will give us an insight into how efficiently the business can generate profits from the capital it requires. … What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)? … ROCE measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleFirst, this article will compare CEO compensation with compensation at similar sized companies. … How Does Julie Howard's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies. … is worth US$779m, and total annual CEO compensation is US$4.0m.
Simply Wall St - – Full article
Navigant Consulting, Inc. provides professional services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Healthcare, Energy, and Financial Services Advisory and Compliance. The Healthcare segment offers consulting and business process management services to healthcare providers, payers, and life sciences companies. This segment helps clients respond to market legislative changes, such as the shift to an outcome and value-based reimbursements model, ongoing industry consolidation and reorganization, Medicaid expansion, the implementation of a electronic health records system, and product planning and commercialization expertise. The Energy segment provides life-cycle solutions that help clients businesses in changing energy environment, manage complexity, accelerate operational performance, and meet compliance requirements, as well as transform its organizations and systems; and various benchmarking, and data and market research services. This segment serves utility and energy companies, government and nongovernmental organizations, large corporations, product manufacturers, and investors. The Financial Services Advisory and Compliance segment provides strategic, operational, valuation, risk management, investigative, and compliance advisory services to financial services industry, including financial and insurance institutions. This segment also offers anti-corruption solutions and anti-money laundering consulting, litigation support, and tax compliance services. Navigant Consulting, Inc. has strategic alliance with eIQ Mobility, Inc. to provide turnkey electric vehicle fleet as a service solutions to clients across North America and Europe. Navigant Consulting, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Name: | Navigant Consulting, Inc. |
NCI | |
Exchange: | NYSE |
Founded: | 1983 |
$1,071,849,171 | |
38,294,004 | |
Website: | http://www.navigant.com |
Address: |
Navigant Consulting, Inc. 150 North Riverside Plaza, Suite 2100, Chicago, Illinois, 60606, United States |
Exchange Symbol | Ticker Symbol | Security | Exchange | Country | Currency | Listed on | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYSE | NCI | Common Stock | New York Stock Exchange | US | USD | 04. Oct 1996 | |
DB | MZL | Common Stock | Deutsche Boerse AG | DE | EUR | 04. Oct 1996 |
Research and Consulting Services | |
Commercial Services |
Area | Date (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis updated: | 2019/10/11 23:49 |
End of day share price update: | 2019/10/10 00:00 |
Last estimates confirmation: | 2019/10/01 |
Last earnings filing: | 2019/08/02 |
Last earnings reported: | 2019/06/30 |
Last annual earnings reported: | 2018/12/31 |
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.