Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for TSEC:2420 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
TSEC:2420 DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Zippy Technology's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Zippy Technology's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Zippy Technology's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Zippy Technology has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Electrical industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Zippy Technology's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Zippy Technology's earnings growth to the Taiwan, Province of China market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Zippy Technology's revenue growth to the Taiwan, Province of China market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Zippy Technology is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Zippy Technology is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Zippy Technology's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Zippy Technology's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Zippy Technology is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Zippy Technology's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Zippy Technology's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.2x debt.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Zippy Technology Corp. manufactures and sells micro switches, industrial power supplies, and LED keyboards worldwide. The company offers power supplies for file servers, industrial PCs, storage systems, workstations, blade servers, communication systems, industrial equipment, medical devices, telecom/broadcast systems, and wind power equipment. It also provides sealed, rotary, push, low torque, side mini, slide, rocker, hook, tact, detect, and encoder switches, as well as snap action micro switches for use in consumer electronics, as well as computer, communication device, home appliance, industrial equipment, automotive, medical device, and military applications. The company sells its products under the ZIPPY and EMACS brand names, as well as provides ODM and OEM services. Zippy Technology Corp. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
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