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Koufu Group Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates food courts and coffee shops in Singapore and Macau. The last earnings update was 31 days ago. More info.
7 Day | 30 Day | 90 Day | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Koufu Group (VL6) | -0.7% | -1.3% | 3.4% | 22.6% | - | - |
SG Hospitality | -1.3% | -1.3% | 4.3% | -8.2% | -4.7% | -14.8% |
SG Market | -1.1% | -1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.2% | -7.1% |
Is Koufu Group undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Koufu Group.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Valuation Model | 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity | |
Levered Free Cash Flow | Average of 2 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See below |
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) | See below | 8.1% |
Perpetual Growth Rate | 10-Year SG Government Bond Rate | 1.8% |
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Data Point | Calculation/ Source | Result |
---|---|---|
Risk-Free Rate | 10-Year SG Govt Bond Rate | 1.8% |
Equity Risk Premium | S&P Global | 5.4% |
Hospitality Unlevered Beta | Simply Wall St/ S&P Global | 0.91 |
Re-levered Beta | = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.912 (1 + (1- 17%) (45.01%)) |
1.169 |
Levered Beta | Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm) |
1.17 |
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity |
= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 1.75% + (1.169 * 5.44%) |
8.11% |
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for SGX:VL6 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Koufu Group is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
Levered FCF (SGD, Millions) | Source |
Present Value Discounted (@ 8.11%) |
|
---|---|---|---|
2020 | 94.64 | Est @ 32.29% | 87.54 |
2021 | 116.52 | Est @ 23.13% | 99.70 |
2022 | 136.00 | Est @ 16.72% | 107.63 |
2023 | 152.63 | Est @ 12.23% | 111.73 |
2024 | 166.49 | Est @ 9.08% | 112.74 |
2025 | 177.95 | Est @ 6.88% | 111.46 |
2026 | 187.46 | Est @ 5.34% | 108.61 |
2027 | 195.46 | Est @ 4.27% | 104.74 |
2028 | 202.32 | Est @ 3.51% | 100.29 |
2029 | 208.35 | Est @ 2.98% | 95.53 |
Present value of next 10 years cash flows | SGD1,039.00 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Terminal Value |
= FCF2029
× (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= SGD208.35 × (1 + 1.75%) ÷ (8.11% – 1.75%) |
SGD3,333.43 |
Present Value of Terminal Value |
= Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= SGD3,333.43 ÷ (1 + 8.11%)10 |
SGD1,528.42 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Total Equity Value |
= Present value of next 10 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
= SGD1,039.00 + SGD1,528.42 |
SGD2,567.42 |
Equity Value per Share (SGD) |
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= SGD2,567.42 / 554.81 |
SGD4.63 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Value per share (SGD) | From above. | SGD4.63 |
Current discount | Discount to share price of
SGD0.76
= -1 x (SGD0.76 - SGD4.63) / SGD4.63 |
83.6% |
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Earnings Per Share * | Company Filings (2019-09-30) in SGD | SGD0.05 |
SGX:VL6 Share Price ** | SGX (2019-12-05) in SGD | SGD0.76 |
Singapore Hospitality Industry PE Ratio | Median Figure of 20 Publicly-Listed Hospitality Companies | 22.92x |
Singapore Market PE Ratio | Median Figure of 381 Publicly-Listed Companies | 13.19x |
* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.
** Primary Listing of Koufu Group.
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | = SGX:VL6 Share Price ÷ EPS (both in SGD) = 0.76 ÷ 0.05 |
14.7x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | See PE Ratio Section | 14.7x |
Net Income Annual Growth Rate | See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 2 Analysts |
4.2%per year |
Singapore Hospitality Industry PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 6 Publicly-Listed Hospitality Companies | 2.99x |
Singapore Market PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 124 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.42x |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PEG Ratio | = PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate = 14.7x ÷ 4.2% |
3.53x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Book Value per Share | Company Filings (2019-09-30) in SGD | SGD0.17 |
SGX:VL6 Share Price * | SGX (2019-12-05) in SGD | SGD0.76 |
Singapore Hospitality Industry PB Ratio | Median Figure of 31 Publicly-Listed Hospitality Companies | 0.9x |
Singapore Market PB Ratio | Median Figure of 604 Publicly-Listed Companies | 0.73x |
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PB Ratio | = SGX:VL6 Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in SGD) = 0.76 ÷ 0.17 |
4.39x |
* Primary Listing of Koufu Group.
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
How is Koufu Group expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 2 analysts?
Data Point | Source | Value (per year) |
---|---|---|
SGX:VL6 Future Earnings Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 2 Analysts | 4.2% |
SGX:VL6 Future Revenue Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 2 Analysts | 7.8% |
Singapore Hospitality Industry Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 3.2% |
Singapore Hospitality Industry Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 2.9% |
Singapore Market Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 6.4% |
Singapore Market Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 5.5% |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (2 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 2 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 282 | 48 | 31 | 2 |
2020-12-31 | 266 | 44 | 30 | 2 |
2019-12-31 | 243 | 39 | 29 | 2 |
2019-12-05 |
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * |
---|---|---|---|
2019-09-30 | 235 | 88 | 29 |
2019-06-30 | 231 | 71 | 26 |
2019-03-31 | 227 | 49 | 25 |
2018-12-31 | 225 | 33 | 25 |
2018-09-30 | 222 | 46 | 24 |
2018-06-30 | 220 | 47 | 27 |
2018-03-31 | 219 | 52 | 27 |
2017-12-31 | 218 | 51 | 27 |
2016-12-31 | 220 | 33 | 26 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (2 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 2 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
All data from Koufu Group Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | EPS * | EPS High Estimate | EPS Low Estimate | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 2.00 |
2020-12-31 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 2.00 |
2019-12-31 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 2.00 |
2019-12-05 |
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | EPS * |
---|---|
2019-09-30 | 0.05 |
2019-06-30 | 0.05 |
2019-03-31 | 0.05 |
2018-12-31 | 0.05 |
2018-09-30 | 0.05 |
2018-06-30 | 0.06 |
2018-03-31 | 0.06 |
2017-12-31 | 0.06 |
2016-12-31 | 0.05 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How has Koufu Group performed over the past 5 years?
All data from Koufu Group Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | Revenue | Net Income * | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-09-30 | 235.19 | 28.70 | 6.05 | |
2019-06-30 | 231.41 | 26.27 | 7.67 | |
2019-03-31 | 227.47 | 25.27 | 8.23 | |
2018-12-31 | 224.78 | 24.51 | 8.30 | |
2018-09-30 | 221.85 | 24.24 | 8.38 | |
2018-06-30 | 219.86 | 26.69 | 7.42 | |
2018-03-31 | 219.18 | 26.80 | 7.15 | |
2017-12-31 | 217.57 | 26.87 | 6.95 | |
2016-12-31 | 219.82 | 25.88 | 6.62 | |
2015-12-31 | 202.59 | 20.61 | 6.34 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How is Koufu Group's financial health and their level of debt?
All data from Koufu Group Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago.
Date (Data in SGD Millions) | Total Equity | Total Debt | Cash & Short Term Investments |
---|---|---|---|
2019-09-30 | 96.76 | 4.87 | 96.46 |
2019-06-30 | 94.63 | 4.49 | 96.10 |
2019-03-31 | 94.12 | 4.63 | 98.73 |
2018-12-31 | 91.53 | 10.59 | 95.98 |
2018-09-30 | 89.74 | 4.78 | 90.84 |
2018-06-30 | 42.05 | 2.96 | 42.48 |
2018-03-31 | 43.12 | 1.76 | 53.04 |
2017-12-31 | 43.12 | 1.76 | 53.04 |
2016-12-31 | 102.89 | 16.75 | 62.42 |
2015-12-31 | 83.02 | 27.92 | 38.32 |
What is Koufu Group's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Annualized Dividend Yield | S&P Global Market Data | See Below |
Past Dividends per Share | Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments | See Below |
Future Dividends per Share Estimates | Average of up to 2 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Singapore Hospitality Industry Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 19 Stocks | 3.2% |
Singapore Market Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 312 Stocks | 4.1% |
Singapore Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield | 10th Percentile | 1.6% |
Singapore Bottom 25% Dividend Yield | 25th Percentile | 2.5% |
Singapore Top 25% Dividend Yield | 75th Percentile | 5.5% |
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.
Date (Data in SGD) | Dividend per Share (annual) | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 0.03 | 1.00 |
2020-12-31 | 0.03 | 1.00 |
2019-12-31 | 0.03 | 1.00 |
2019-12-05 |
Date (Data in SGD) | Dividend per share (annual) | Avg. Yield (%) |
---|---|---|
2019-02-26 | 0.024 | 3.280 |
2018-11-09 | 0.020 | 3.212 |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Mr. Lim Pang serves as Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Koufu Group Limited and has been its Director since November 15, 2017. Mr. Pang is responsible for the overall management and operations of Group, setting and executing the strategic directions and expansion plans for the growth and development of Group, including sourcing for investment opportunities to promote the growth of Group’s business. Mr. Pang is one of the founding shareholders of Koufu Group. He has more than 27 years of experience in the F&B and food service management industry, and has been and continues to be instrumental to Group’s continued success and growth. Mr. Pang was awarded the Entrepreneur of the Year Award by the Rotary Club of Singapore and the Association of Small & Medium Enterprises in 2004. He was awarded the Public Service Medal by the Prime Minister’s Office of Singapore for his commendable public service in 2010 and 2014 respectively, and recognised by the Ministry of Education for his contribution and support in the education field in 2012 and 2016. Mr. Pang is currently the President of the Hainan Business Club (Singapore), President of the Qionghai Association (Singapore), Vice-President of the Singapore Hainan Hwee Kuan, Vice-President of the World Qionghai Countrymen’s Association and the Honorary President of The Federation of Merchants’ Association, Singapore. He serves as Director of 1983 F&B Pte. Ltd., Abundance Holdings Pte. Ltd., Koufu Gourmet Pte. Ltd., Delijoy Pte. Ltd., Elemen F&B Pte. Ltd., Hawker Management Pte. Ltd., Koufu F&B Investment Pte. Ltd., Super Tea (S) Pte. Ltd., Hock Kee F&B Pte. Ltd., Woodlands 548 Foodcourt Pte. Ltd., Koufu Macau Limited and R&B (Macau) Ltd. He serves as Director of Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd, Abundance Realty Pte. Ltd., Abundance Development Pte. Ltd., Abundance Property (Hainan) Pte. Ltd., Abundance Australia Investment Pty Ltd, S M C Food 21 Pte. Ltd., Fong Yu Investments Pte. Ltd., United Alliance Commerce Sdn Bhd, Ruby Premium Sdn Bhd, The Kongzi Culture Fund Ltd. and Yuying Secondary School Limited. He served as Director of Happy Hawkers Limited, Zheng Wei F&B Pte. Ltd. and Koufu WTS Pte. Ltd. He is also currently the Vice Chairman of the General Affairs Committee of the Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce & Industry and a Council Member of the Singapore Federation of Chinese Clan Associations. Mr. Pang is also the Vice-Chairman of the Yuying Secondary School Management Committee and a member of the Pei Chun Public School Management Committee.
Average tenure and age of the Koufu Group management team in years:
Average tenure and age of the Koufu Group board of directors in years:
Announced | Type | Name | Entity | Role | Start | End | Shares | Max Price (SGD) | Value (SGD) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22. Jan 19 | Sell | Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd | Company | 22. Jan 19 | 22. Jan 19 | -7,000,000 | SGD0.63 | SGD-4,409,997 | ||
20. Dec 18 | Buy | Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd | Company | 19. Dec 18 | 19. Dec 18 | 58,700 | SGD0.61 | SGD36,011 | ||
18. Dec 18 | Buy | Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd | Company | 17. Dec 18 | 17. Dec 18 | 161,300 | SGD0.60 | SGD97,235 | ||
12. Dec 18 | Buy | Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd | Company | 11. Dec 18 | 11. Dec 18 | 150,000 | SGD0.11 | SGD16,357 |
Koufu Group's next dividend payment will be S$0.01 per share. … Earnings per share growth has been growing somewhat, and Koufu Group is paying out less than half its earnings and cash flow as dividends. … We would prefer to see earnings growing faster, but the best dividend stocks over the long term typically combine significant earnings per share growth with a low payout ratio, and Koufu Group is halfway there.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWe'll apply a basic P/E ratio analysis to Koufu Group Limited's (SGX:VL6), to help you decide if the stock is worth further research. … Koufu Group has a price to earnings ratio of 15.01, based on the last twelve months. … The formula for price to earnings is: Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS) Or for Koufu Group: P/E of 15.01 = SGD0.71 ÷ SGD0.047 (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWe can see that Koufu Group Limited (SGX:VL6) does use debt in its business. … SGX:VL6 Historical Debt, July 18th 2019 How Strong Is Koufu Group's Balance Sheet? … While Koufu Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleThe formula for return on equity is: Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity Or for Koufu Group: 27% = S$25m ÷ S$94m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) It's easy to understand the 'net profit' part of that equation, but 'shareholders' equity' requires further explanation. … Combining Koufu Group's Debt And Its 27% Return On Equity While Koufu Group does have a tiny amount of debt, with debt to equity of just 0.049, we think the use of debt is very modest. … A company that can achieve a high return on equity without debt could be considered a high quality business.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleCould Koufu Group Limited (SGX:VL6) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? … Conclusion To summarise, shareholders should always check that Koufu Group's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. … Overall we think Koufu Group is an interesting dividend stock, although it could be better.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleAnalysts use this formula to calculate return on capital employed: Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities) Or for Koufu Group: 0.14 = S$32m ÷ (S$333m - S$109m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) So, Koufu Group has an ROCE of 14%. … Do Koufu Group's Current Liabilities Skew Its ROCE? … The Bottom Line On Koufu Group's ROCE Koufu Group's ROCE does look good, but the level of current liabilities also contribute to that.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleLooking at Koufu Group Limited’s (SGX:VL6) fundamentals some investors are wondering if its last closing price of SGD0.79 represents a good value for money for this high growth stock. … See our latest analysis for Koufu Group? … According to the analysts covering the company, the following few years should bring about good growth prospects for Koufu Group
Simply Wall St - – Full articleThe most recent earnings release Koufu Group Limited's (SGX:VL6) announced in December 2018a
Simply Wall St - – Full articleSpecifically, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), since that will give us an insight into how efficiently the business can generate profits from the capital it requires. … Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE). … ROCE measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWe'll show how you can use Koufu Group Limited's (SGX:VL6) P/E ratio to inform your assessment of the investment opportunity. … Koufu Group has a P/E ratio of 12.53, based on the last twelve months. … Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)
Simply Wall St - – Full article
Koufu Group Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates food courts and coffee shops in Singapore and Macau. The company operates through two segments, Outlet & Mall Management and F&B Retail. The Outlet & Mall Management segment operates 46 food courts, 15 coffee shops, 1 hawker center, and 1 commercial mall in Singapore, as well as 1 food court in Macau. The F&B Retail segment operates 69 food and beverage stalls, 9 food and beverage kiosks, 8 quick service restaurants, and 3 full-service restaurants in Singapore, as well as 2 food and beverage stalls, and 1 food and beverage kiosk in Macau. The company operates food courts under the Koufu, Rasapura Masters, Cookhouse, Fork & Spoon, and Gourmet Paradise brands; coffee shops under the Happy Hawkers, R&B Tea, and 1983-A Taste Of Nanyang brands; full service restaurants under the Elemen brand; quick service restaurants under the Grove, 1983-Coffee & Toast, and Supertea brands; and commercial mall under the Punggol Plaza brand. It also franchises or licenses its brands. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Singapore. Koufu Group Limited is a subsidiary of Jun Yuan Holdings Pte Ltd.
Name: | Koufu Group Limited |
VL6 | |
Exchange: | SGX |
Founded: | 2002 |
SGD421,658,412 | |
554,813,700 | |
Website: | http://www.koufu.com.sg |
Address: |
Koufu Group Limited 18 Woodlands Terrace, Singapore, 738443, Singapore |
Exchange Symbol | Ticker Symbol | Security | Exchange | Country | Currency | Listed on | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SGX | VL6 | Ordinary Shares | Singapore Exchange | SG | SGD | 18. Jul 2018 |
Restaurants | |
Consumer Services |
Area | Date (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis updated: | 2019/12/05 13:03 |
End of day share price update: | 2019/12/05 00:00 |
Last estimates confirmation: | 2019/11/06 |
Last earnings filing: | 2019/11/04 |
Last earnings reported: | 2019/09/30 |
Last annual earnings reported: | 2018/12/31 |
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.