Transcendent Group AB (publ) engages in the management consulting business in Sweden and internationally.
The last earnings update was 17 days ago.
More info.
Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is
available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale
at half price, they could be considered
undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current
share
price of
Transcendent Group
to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.
The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth
today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the
future.
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OM:TRG using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
Transcendent Group
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
OM:TRG DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
= Present value of next 10 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
=
SEK10.00 +
SEK9.01
SEK19.01
Equity Value per Share (SEK)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= SEK19.01 /
6.47
SEK2.94
OM:TRG Discount to Share Price
Calculation
Result
Value per share (SEK)
From above.
SEK2.94
Current discount
Discount to share price of
SEK21.90
= -1 x (SEK21.90 - SEK2.94) / SEK2.94
-644.7%
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s
analysis model
.
The current share price of
Transcendent Group
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
premium
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
Transcendent Group's
earnings,
growth
and
assets
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are
Transcendent Group's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Transcendent Group has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
growth
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
it right!
28.4%
Expected Professional Services industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is
Transcendent Group
expected to grow at an
attractive
rate?
Unable to compare Transcendent Group's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Transcendent Group's earnings growth to the Sweden market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Transcendent Group's revenue growth to the Sweden market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Transcendent Group is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Transcendent Group is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
All data from Transcendent Group Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in
Trailing twelve months (TTM)
annual period rather than quarterly.
OM:TRG Past Financials Data
Date (Data in SEK Millions)
EPS *
2019-09-30
-0.16
2019-06-30
-0.57
2019-03-31
0.19
2018-12-31
0.96
2017-12-31
0.86
2016-12-31
1.02
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return
(profit) compared to the available
funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
Unable to establish if Transcendent Group will efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future without estimates of Return on Equity.
We assess
Transcendent Group's future performance by looking at:
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a
premium to keep pace with inflation?
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the Sweden market? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the Sweden market? (1 check)
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making
in the relevant year.
Transcendent Group
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.
The past performance of a company can be measured by how much
growth
it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets
it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare
Transcendent Group's growth in the last year to its industry (Professional Services).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it
has maintained that growth in the year.
Transcendent Group does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.
Unable to compare Transcendent Group's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.
Unable to compare Transcendent Group's 1-year growth to the SE Professional Services industry average as it is not currently profitable.
Earnings and Revenue History
Transcendent Group's
revenue
and
profit
over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a
loss will show up in red.
All data from Transcendent Group Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in
Trailing twelve months (TTM)
annual period rather than quarterly.
OM:TRG Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in SEK Millions)
Revenue
Net Income *
G+A Expenses
R&D Expenses
2019-09-30
189.83
-0.88
36.46
2019-06-30
182.00
-3.16
37.48
2019-03-31
181.23
1.07
41.00
2018-12-31
180.46
5.31
44.51
2017-12-31
146.98
4.32
42.47
2016-12-31
126.79
5.09
31.89
2015-12-31
32.00
0.95
7.56
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is
done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available
funds,
assets
and
capital.
It is difficult to establish if Transcendent Group has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) as it is loss-making.
It is difficult to establish if Transcendent Group has efficiently used its assets last year compared to the SE Professional Services industry average (Return on Assets) as it is loss-making.
It is difficult to establish if Transcendent Group improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.
We assess
Transcendent Group's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
Professional Services
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Transcendent Group
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
(assets)
and owe
(liabilities).
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Transcendent Group's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
Transcendent Group's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Transcendent Group's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Transcendent Group's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
bad,
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
We assess
Transcendent Group's financial health by checking for:
Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest
at all)? (1 check)
Transcendent Group
has a total score of
2/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a
bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
0%
Current annual income from
Transcendent Group
dividends.
If you bought
SEK2,000 of
Transcendent Group
shares you are expected to receive
SEK0
in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you
can get in a
savings account?
It is up there with the
best dividend paying companies?
Unable to evaluate Transcendent Group's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
Unable to evaluate Transcendent Group's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not
wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate
to count toward your assessment of the stock.
We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
We assess
Transcendent Group's dividend by checking for:
Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 1%) - if
not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the
dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1
check)
How sustainable is the dividend, can
Transcendent Group
afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than
90%)? (2 checks)
Transcendent Group
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
CEO
MartinMalm
AGE
46
TENURE AS CEO
3.9 years
CEO Bio
Mr. Martin Malm is Chief Executive Officer of Transcendent Group AB since 2016. Mr. Malm holds Master of Science in Computer and Systems Science at Stockholm University. He is a Director of Maquire AB.
CEO Compensation
Insufficient data for Martin to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Martin to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in Sweden.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
Transcendent Group
management team in years:
2.4
Average Tenure
40
Average Age
The tenure for the Transcendent Group management team is about average.
Management Team
Martin Malm
TITLE
Chief Executive Officer
AGE
46
TENURE
3.9 yrs
Susanne Lindqvist
TITLE
Chief Financial Officer
AGE
40
TENURE
4.9 yrs
Magnus Karlsson
TITLE
COO & Interim CEO of RegTech
AGE
40
TENURE
1.9 yrs
Lisa Dennis
TITLE
Chief HR Officer & Chief Marketing Officer
AGE
46
TENURE
2.9 yrs
Lars Vold-Andersen
TITLE
Head of New Markets
AGE
39
TENURE
0.9 yrs
Martin Bohlin
TITLE
Chief Executive Officer of Transcendent Group Stockholm AB
AGE
40
TENURE
1.9 yrs
Marko Ahola
TITLE
Chief Executive Officer of Transcendent Group Finland Oy
AGE
38
TENURE
2.9 yrs
Carsten Maartmann-Moe
TITLE
Chief Executive Officer of Transcendent Group Norge AS
AGE
38
TENURE
0.9 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
Transcendent Group
board of directors in years:
1.9
Average Tenure
63
Average Age
The average tenure for the Transcendent Group board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Board of Directors
Håkan Berg
TITLE
Chairman
AGE
64
TENURE
4.9 yrs
Sigrun Hjelmqvist
TITLE
Director
AGE
63
TENURE
1.9 yrs
Lars Andersson
TITLE
Director
AGE
66
TENURE
1.9 yrs
Ingrid Nordlund
TITLE
Director
AGE
51
TENURE
1.9 yrs
Magnus Juvas
TITLE
Director
AGE
48
TENURE
4.9 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Transcendent Group AB (publ) engages in the management consulting business in Sweden and internationally. Its services include compliance, corporate governance, digital governance, information security, IT audit, internal audit, privacy, and financial risk. The company serves clients in the public and private sectors, including government agencies, businesses, and other organizations in a variety of industries. Transcendent Group AB (publ) was founded in 2001 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Transcendent Group AB (publ)
Sveavägen 20,
Stockholm,
Stockholm County, 111 57,
Sweden
Listings
Exchange Symbol
Ticker Symbol
Security
Exchange
Country
Currency
Listed on
OM
TRG
Ordinary Shares
OMX Nordic Exchange Stockholm
SE
SEK
22. Oct 2019
Number of employees
Current staff
0
Transcendent Group
employees.
Industry
Research and Consulting Services
Commercial Services
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area
Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated:
2019/12/07 22:44
End of day share price update:
2019/12/06 00:00
Last earnings filing:
2019/11/20
Last earnings reported:
2019/09/30
Last annual earnings reported:
2018/12/31
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.