Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for JASDAQ:4336 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
JASDAQ:4336 DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Crie Anabuki's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Crie Anabuki's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Crie Anabuki's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Crie Anabuki has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Professional Services industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Crie Anabuki's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Crie Anabuki's earnings growth to the Japan market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Crie Anabuki's revenue growth to the Japan market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Crie Anabuki is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Crie Anabuki is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Crie Anabuki's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Toru Kurata has been the President at Crie Anabuki Inc. since July 1996 and served as Manager of Business Strategy Department since April 2012. Toru Kurata serves as Chief of Group Strategy Office of Anabuki Kosan Inc. Toru Kurata served as the Managing Director of Crie Anabuki Inc. since October 1991 and served as its Senior Managing Director since March 1995. Toru Kurata joined Recruit Co., Ltd. in April 1983 and Anabuki Kosan, Inc. in February 1986. Toru Kurata has been a Representative Director at Crie Anabuki Inc. since April 1989. Toru Kurata has been a Director of Anabuki Kosan Inc since September 2003.
Insufficient data for Toru to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Toru to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in Japan.
President and Representative Director
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Crie Anabuki board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Board of Directors
President and Representative Director
Standing Corporate Auditor
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Crie Anabuki Inc. operates as a human resources service company in Japan. It offers temporary staffing, temporary to permanent placement, recruitment support, human resources consulting, training and assessment, and outplacement services, as well as business management or personnel management outsourcing services. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Takamatsu, Japan. Crie Anabuki Inc. is a subsidiary of Anabuki Kosan Inc.
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