Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for BSE:530843 using Dividend Discount Model Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future dividends to their present value. This
approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate
(e.g. Banks/ Insurance firms).
If the firm does not pay the majority of its earnings out as a dividend this
method will often arrive at a value significantly lower than the share price.
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Cupid's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Cupid has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Personal Products industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Cupid's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Cupid's earnings growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Cupid's revenue growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Cupid is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Cupid is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Cupid's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
5/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
Mr. Omprakash Chhangamal Garg serves as Managing Director of Cupid Ltd. Mr. Garg serves as the Chairman of Cupid Ltd. and has been its Whole Time Director since August 8, 1994. He served as Compliance Officer of Cupid Ltd. until October 31, 2015.
Omprakash's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
Omprakash's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in India.
Chairman & MD
Chief Financial Officer
Chief Operating Officer
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer
Senior Marketing Manager
Secretary to CMD & Marketing Officer
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the Cupid board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors
Chairman & MD
Non-Executive Independent Director
Non-Executive Non-Independent Woman Director
Non-Executive Independent Director
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
530843's shares are currently hovering at around -52% lower than its true level of INR506.72, at the market price of ₹243.55, according to my discounted cash flow model. … 531694's shares are currently trading at -98% under its intrinsic value of INR451.1, at a price of ₹10.70, based on my discounted cash flow model. … 532715's stock is now trading at -85% lower than its value of INR27.34, at the market price of ₹4.21, according to my discounted cash flow model.
Cupid Limited designs, manufactures, and supplies male and female condoms in India and internationally. The company also offers water based lubricant jellies; and hand sanitizers. In addition, it provides contract manufacturing services. The company was formerly known as Cupid Condom Limited and changed its name to Cupid Limited in January 2006. Cupid Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Nashik, India.
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