Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for TASE:SAE using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
TASE:SAE DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Shufersal's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Shufersal's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Shufersal's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Shufersal has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Consumer Retailing industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Shufersal's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Shufersal's earnings growth to the Israel market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Shufersal's revenue growth to the Israel market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Shufersal is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Shufersal is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Shufersal's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Itzik Abercohen has been Chief Executive Officer of Shufersal Ltd. since January 1, 2012. Mr. Abercohen has been a Senior Executive of Shufersal Ltd. since 2004. He served as the Chief Operating and Supply Chain Officer of Shufersal Ltd. Mr. Abercohen has a BA and MA in Political Science from the University of Haifa, and is a graduate of Israel's Command and Staff College and of the United States Army Command and General Staff College.
Insufficient data for Itzik to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Itzik to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in Israel.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Shufersal management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Director of Real Assets
Chief Executive Officer
Chief Financial Officer
Vice President of Operations and Supply Chains
Executive Vice President of Human Resources
General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Executive Vice President of Commerce & Marketing
Executive Vice President - Logistics
Executive Vice President of Supply Chain Management
Executive Vice President of Operations & Supply Chain
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Shufersal board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Board of Directors
Chairman of the Board
Michael Bar Haim
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Shufersal Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets under the Shufersal Deal, Shufersal Mine, Shufersal Express, and Shufersal Green names in Israel. It also operates an online shopping Website that offers garden furniture, appliances, and food products, as well as provides gift, customer club, and credit cards. The company is also involved in the real estate business. It operates a network of 272 stores. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Rishon-Le-Zion, Israel.
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