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Old Mutual Limited provides financial services to retail and corporate customers in South Africa and the rest of Africa, and Asia. The last earnings update was 102 days ago. More info.
7 Day | 30 Day | 90 Day | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Old Mutual (OMUL) | 1.4% | -5.7% | -10.6% | -17.5% | - | - |
GB Insurance | 3.2% | 0.9% | -2.9% | 3.8% | -6.2% | 0.5% |
GB Market | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 8.1% | 4% | 8% |
Is Old Mutual undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Old Mutual.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Valuation Model | Excess Returns Model | |
Stable EPS |
Median Return on Equity from the past 5 years.
= Stable Book Value * Return on Equity = ZAR18.17 * 2.2% |
ZAR0.39 |
Book Value of Equity per Share | Weighted future Book Value estimates from 2 analysts. | ZAR18.17 |
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) | See below | 7.7% |
Perpetual Growth Rate | 10-Year GB Government Bond Rate | 0.5% |
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Data Point | Calculation/ Source | Result |
---|---|---|
Risk-Free Rate | 10-Year GB Govt Bond Rate | 0.5% |
Equity Risk Premium | S&P Global | 8.2% |
Insurance Unlevered Beta | Simply Wall St/ S&P Global | 0.67 |
Re-levered Beta | = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.665 (1 + (1- 28%) (27.9%)) |
0.874 |
Levered Beta | Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm) |
0.87 |
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity |
= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 0.53% + (0.874 * 8.23%) |
7.72% |
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for BATS-CHIXE:OMUL using Excess Returns Model Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Old Mutual is arrived at using the Excess Return Model. This approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate.
In the Excess Return Model the value of a firm can be written as the sum of capital invested currently in the firm and the present value of excess returns that the firm expects to make in the future.
The model is sensitive to the Return on Equity of the company versus the Cost of Equity, how these are calculated is detailed below the main calculation.
Note the calculations below are per share.
See our documentation to learn about this calculation.
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Excess Returns |
= (Stable Return on equity – Cost of equity) (Book Value of
Equity per share)
= (2.2% – 7.72%) * ZAR18.17) |
ZAR-1.01 |
Terminal Value of Excess Returns |
= Excess Returns / (Cost of Equity -
Expected Growth Rate)
= ZAR-1.01 / (7.72% - 0.53%) |
ZAR-14.05 |
Value of Equity |
= Book Value per share + Terminal Value of
Excess Returns
= ZAR18.17 + ZAR-14.05 |
ZAR4.12 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor |
1 share in BATS-CHIXE:OMUL
represents 0.05302x
of
JSE:OMU
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.) |
0.05302x |
Value per Share (Listing Adjusted, GBP) |
= Value per Share (ZAR) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= ZAR 4.12 x 0.05302 |
£0.22 |
Value per share (GBP) | From above. | £0.22 |
Current discount | Discount to share price of
£1.00
= -1 x (£1.00 - £0.22) / £0.22 |
-356.4% |
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Earnings Per Share * | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in ZAR | ZAR1.15 |
JSE:OMU Share Price ** | JSE (2019-12-12) in ZAR | ZAR18.8 |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry PE Ratio | Median Figure of 17 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies | 13.44x |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market PE Ratio | Median Figure of 751 Publicly-Listed Companies | 17.26x |
* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.
** Primary Listing of Old Mutual.
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | = JSE:OMU Share Price ÷ EPS (both in ZAR) = 18.8 ÷ 1.15 |
16.41x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | See PE Ratio Section | 16.41x |
Net Income Annual Growth Rate | See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 4 Analysts |
20.6%per year |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 17 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies | 1.37x |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 560 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.48x |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PEG Ratio | = PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate = 16.41x ÷ 20.6% |
0.8x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Book Value per Share | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in ZAR | ZAR15.70 |
JSE:OMU Share Price * | JSE (2019-12-12) in ZAR | ZAR18.8 |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry PB Ratio | Median Figure of 20 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies | 1.76x |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market PB Ratio | Median Figure of 1,311 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.52x |
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PB Ratio | = JSE:OMU Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in ZAR) = 18.8 ÷ 15.70 |
1.2x |
* Primary Listing of Old Mutual.
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
How is Old Mutual expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?
Data Point | Source | Value (per year) |
---|---|---|
BATS-CHIXE:OMUL Future Earnings Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 4 Analysts | 20.6% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 6.3% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | -0.3% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 12.4% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 3.6% |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (5 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 4 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 12,142 | |||
2020-12-31 | 11,609 | |||
2019-12-31 | 10,756 | |||
2019-12-13 |
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 141,355 | -35,721 | 5,275 |
2019-03-31 | 125,180 | -41,024 | 2,065 |
2018-12-31 | 109,005 | -46,326 | -1,145 |
2018-09-30 | 138,405 | -16,261 | -3,807 |
2018-06-30 | 167,805 | 70,698 | -3,222 |
2018-03-31 | 171,676 | 92,881 | -3,043 |
2017-12-31 | 175,546 | 115,064 | -2,864 |
2017-09-30 | 112,642 | 102,467 | -4,677 |
2017-06-30 | 51,329 | 87,162 | -6,113 |
2017-03-31 | 76,651 | 83,646 | -4,073 |
2016-12-31 | 102,465 | 81,233 | -2,116 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (5 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 4 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
All data from Old Mutual Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | EPS * | EPS High Estimate | EPS Low Estimate | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 2.71 | 2.83 | 2.59 | 2.00 |
2020-12-31 | 2.51 | 2.57 | 2.39 | 3.00 |
2019-12-31 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 2.21 | 3.00 |
2019-12-13 |
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | EPS * |
---|---|
2019-06-30 | 1.15 |
2019-03-31 | 0.45 |
2018-12-31 | -0.25 |
2018-09-30 | -0.82 |
2018-06-30 | -0.70 |
2018-03-31 | -0.66 |
2017-12-31 | -0.62 |
2017-09-30 | -1.01 |
2017-06-30 | -1.32 |
2017-03-31 | -0.88 |
2016-12-31 | -0.46 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How has Old Mutual performed over the past 5 years?
All data from Old Mutual Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | Revenue | Net Income * | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 141,355.00 | 5,275.00 | 23,151.00 | |
2019-03-31 | 125,180.00 | 2,065.00 | 23,589.50 | |
2018-12-31 | 109,005.00 | -1,145.00 | 24,028.00 | |
2018-09-30 | 138,405.00 | -3,807.00 | 24,143.00 | |
2018-06-30 | 167,805.00 | -3,222.00 | 24,258.00 | |
2018-03-31 | 171,675.50 | -3,043.00 | 23,935.50 | |
2017-12-31 | 175,546.00 | -2,864.00 | 23,613.00 | |
2017-09-30 | 112,642.46 | -4,677.09 | 13,280.32 | |
2017-06-30 | 51,329.14 | -6,112.68 | 3,452.09 | |
2017-03-31 | 76,650.60 | -4,072.60 | 11,869.41 | |
2016-12-31 | 102,464.50 | -2,116.34 | 20,350.68 | |
2016-06-30 | 246,461.33 | 9,140.52 | 60,910.71 | |
2016-03-31 | 272,474.29 | 10,449.65 | 68,785.57 | |
2015-12-31 | 299,735.92 | 11,858.09 | 77,191.58 | |
2015-09-30 | 304,434.84 | 13,345.43 | 77,782.12 | |
2015-06-30 | 295,655.12 | 12,704.23 | 70,723.39 | |
2015-03-31 | 278,345.14 | 11,466.25 | 65,227.85 | |
2014-12-31 | 277,250.40 | 10,926.57 | 63,615.30 | |
2014-09-30 | 306,213.57 | 9,867.80 | 65,562.17 | |
2014-06-30 | 327,073.01 | 8,527.75 | 65,730.98 | |
2014-03-31 | 330,325.20 | 9,946.86 | 63,505.52 | |
2013-12-31 | 341,655.93 | 11,550.06 | 62,960.84 | |
2013-09-30 | 331,689.49 | 10,803.32 | 59,312.49 | |
2013-06-30 | 318,455.94 | 10,005.51 | 55,324.59 | |
2013-03-31 | 288,255.45 | 8,689.74 | 51,766.75 | |
2012-12-31 | 275,730.25 | 7,941.83 | 51,222.02 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How is Old Mutual's financial health and their level of debt?
All data from Old Mutual Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago.
Date (Data in ZAR Millions) | Total Equity | Total Debt | Cash & Short Term Investments |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 79,207.00 | 25,549.00 | 34,318.00 |
2019-03-31 | 79,207.00 | 25,549.00 | 34,318.00 |
2018-12-31 | 81,420.00 | 21,785.00 | 102,068.00 |
2018-09-30 | 81,420.00 | 21,785.00 | 102,068.00 |
2018-06-30 | 151,957.00 | 26,024.00 | 27,542.00 |
2018-03-31 | 151,957.00 | 26,024.00 | 27,542.00 |
2017-12-31 | 183,445.00 | 23,386.00 | 102,591.00 |
2017-09-30 | 183,445.00 | 23,386.00 | 102,591.00 |
2017-06-30 | 181,785.38 | 82,408.69 | 87,985.35 |
2017-03-31 | 179,648.74 | 81,440.09 | 86,951.20 |
2016-12-31 | 186,626.94 | 100,280.44 | 168,240.21 |
2016-06-30 | 193,516.77 | 82,812.73 | 77,860.80 |
2016-03-31 | 209,352.92 | 89,589.58 | 84,232.42 |
2015-12-31 | 203,731.04 | 112,492.19 | 174,291.06 |
2015-09-30 | 186,877.89 | 103,186.55 | 164,140.46 |
2015-06-30 | 182,157.64 | 68,125.24 | 96,170.06 |
2015-03-31 | 171,903.68 | 64,290.35 | 90,756.49 |
2014-12-31 | 171,818.93 | 73,803.83 | 147,337.65 |
2014-09-30 | 175,070.89 | 75,200.70 | 150,126.27 |
2014-06-30 | 161,300.01 | 50,039.19 | 77,986.22 |
2014-03-31 | 155,623.62 | 48,278.23 | 75,241.76 |
2013-12-31 | 156,959.21 | 67,702.45 | 146,433.89 |
2013-09-30 | 147,032.49 | 63,420.68 | 137,172.84 |
2013-06-30 | 145,374.19 | 63,172.05 | 75,984.54 |
2013-03-31 | 135,122.37 | 58,717.14 | 70,626.09 |
2012-12-31 | 134,749.06 | 60,845.96 | 133,866.63 |
What is Old Mutual's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Annualized Dividend Yield | S&P Global Market Data | See Below |
Past Dividends per Share | Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments | See Below |
Future Dividends per Share Estimates | Average of up to 4 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Insurance Industry Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 19 Stocks | 5.1% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Market Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 676 Stocks | 4.5% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield | 10th Percentile | 1.1% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Bottom 25% Dividend Yield | 25th Percentile | 2% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Top 25% Dividend Yield | 75th Percentile | 5.2% |
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.
Date (Data in ZAR) | Dividend per Share (annual) | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|
2021-12-31 | 1.45 | 2.00 |
2020-12-31 | 1.31 | 3.00 |
2019-12-31 | 1.16 | 3.00 |
2019-12-13 |
Date (Data in ZAR) | Dividend per share (annual) | Avg. Yield (%) |
---|---|---|
2019-03-11 | 1.440 | 7.049 |
2018-09-11 | 0.900 | 3.807 |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Mr. Iain George Williamson serves as Interim Chief Executive Officer at Old Mutual Life Assurance since 2019. He served as Acting Chief Executive Officer at Old Mutual Life Assurance since June 2019 until 2019. He serves as Interim Chief Executive Officer at Old Mutual Ltd. since 2019. Mr. Williamson was the Acting Chief Executive Officer at Old Mutual Ltd. since April 24, 2019 until 2019 and served as its Chief Operating Officer. He has been Director of Old Mutual Ltd. since June 2019. He served as a Non-Executive Director at UAP Holdings Ltd. since November 10, 2017 until April 2019. He serves as Interim Chief Executive Officer and Director at Old Mutual Life Assurance Company (South Africa) Ltd. He served as Finance Director of Old Mutual Life Assurance Company (South Africa) Limited and served as its Executive Director from August 1, 2015 to September 30, 2017. Mr. Williamson has many years of experience in the financial services industry. He served as General Manager of Finance of Retail Affluent segment at OMSA. He joined Old Mutual's Employee Benefits division in 1993 and in 1996, he became Actuarial Finance Manager. He served as Senior Manager of Corporate Development at Old Mutual plc in London. Mr. Williamson served as Chief Operating Officer of OMSA Wealth Management. He served as Head of Strategy and Product Platforms for Old Mutual SA Technology division and Finance Actuary at OMSA. He has been Non-Executive Director of acsis Limited since September 2010. Mr. Williamson holds a Bachelor of Business Science degree (Actuarial) from the University of Cape Town and is a Fellow of the Faculty of Actuaries. He holds Post Graduate Diploma Actuarial Science.
Average tenure and age of the Old Mutual management team in years:
Average tenure and age of the Old Mutual board of directors in years:
Old Mutual Limited provides financial services to retail and corporate customers in South Africa and the rest of Africa, and Asia. The company offers life and savings, property and casualty insurance, asset management, and banking and lending products and services. It distributes its products through independent advisers, branches, bancassurance, direct and digital channels, and worksites. The company was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa.
Name: | Old Mutual Limited |
OMUL | |
Exchange: | BATS-CHIXE |
Founded: | 1845 |
ZAR4,802,973,499 | |
4,708,553,649 | |
Website: | http://www.oldmutual.com |
Address: |
Old Mutual Limited Mutualpark, Jan Smuts Drive, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7405, South Africa |
Exchange Symbol | Ticker Symbol | Security | Exchange | Country | Currency | Listed on | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JSE | OMU | Ordinary Shares | The Johannesburg Securities Exchange | ZA | ZAR | 26. Jun 2018 | |
LSE | OMU | Ordinary Shares | London Stock Exchange | GB | GBP | 26. Jun 2018 | |
MAL | OMU | Ordinary Shares | Malawi Stock Exchange | MW | MWK | 26. Jun 2018 | |
NMSE | OMM | Ordinary Shares | Namibian Stock Exchange | NA | ZAR | 26. Jun 2018 | |
ZMSE | OMU | Ordinary Shares | Zimbabwe Stock Exchange | ZW | ZWL | 26. Jun 2018 | |
BATS-CHIXE | OMUL | Ordinary Shares | BATS 'Chi-X Europe' | GB | GBP | 26. Jun 2018 |
Life and Health Insurance | |
Insurance |
Area | Date (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis updated: | 2019/12/13 19:56 |
End of day share price update: | 2019/12/12 00:00 |
Last estimates confirmation: | 2019/12/11 |
Last earnings filing: | 2019/09/02 |
Last earnings reported: | 2019/06/30 |
Last annual earnings reported: | 2018/12/31 |
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.