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Clear Media Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an outdoor advertising company in the People’s Republic of China. The last earnings update was 70 days ago. More info.
7 Day | 30 Day | 90 Day | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clear Media (XM8) | 33.3% | 78% | 62.6% | 4.1% | -21.7% | -14.1% |
DE Media | -1.2% | -5.2% | -0.3% | 0.7% | -14.2% | -20.2% |
DE Market | -0.9% | 0.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 16.9% |
Is Clear Media undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Clear Media.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Valuation Model | 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity | |
Levered Free Cash Flow | Extrapolated from most recent financials. | See below |
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) | See below | 6.6% |
Perpetual Growth Rate | 10-Year DE Government Bond Rate | -0.4% |
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Data Point | Calculation/ Source | Result |
---|---|---|
Risk-Free Rate | 10-Year DE Govt Bond Rate | -0.4% |
Equity Risk Premium | S&P Global | 6.1% |
Media Unlevered Beta | Simply Wall St/ S&P Global | 0.77 |
Re-levered Beta | = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.767 (1 + (1- 25%) (77.83%)) |
1.144 |
Levered Beta | Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm) |
1.14 |
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity |
= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= -0.39% + (1.144 * 6.07%) |
6.55% |
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:XM8 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Clear Media is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
Levered FCF (CNY, Millions) | Source |
Present Value Discounted (@ 6.55%) |
|
---|---|---|---|
2020 | 285.67 | Est @ -5.68% | 268.11 |
2021 | 273.97 | Est @ -4.09% | 241.32 |
2022 | 265.80 | Est @ -2.98% | 219.72 |
2023 | 259.94 | Est @ -2.21% | 201.67 |
2024 | 255.62 | Est @ -1.66% | 186.12 |
2025 | 252.35 | Est @ -1.28% | 172.45 |
2026 | 249.79 | Est @ -1.01% | 160.20 |
2027 | 247.73 | Est @ -0.83% | 149.11 |
2028 | 246.01 | Est @ -0.7% | 138.97 |
2029 | 244.52 | Est @ -0.6% | 129.64 |
Present value of next 10 years cash flows | CN¥1,867.00 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Terminal Value |
= FCF2029
× (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= CN¥244.52 × (1 + -0.39%) ÷ (6.55% – -0.39%) |
CN¥3,509.08 |
Present Value of Terminal Value |
= Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= CN¥3,509.08 ÷ (1 + 6.55%)10 |
CN¥1,860.43 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Total Equity Value |
= Present value of next 10 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
= CN¥1,867.00 + CN¥1,860.43 |
CN¥3,727.43 |
Equity Value per Share (CNY) |
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= CN¥3,727.43 / 540.64 |
CN¥6.89 |
Calculation | Result | |
---|---|---|
Exchange Rate | CNY/HKD
(Reporting currency to currency of SEHK:100) |
1.111 |
Value per Share (HKD) |
= Value per Share in CNY x Exchange Rate (CNY/HKD)
= CN¥6.89 x 1.111 |
HK$7.66 |
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor |
1 share in DB:XM8
represents 0.11333x
of
SEHK:100
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.) |
0.11333x |
Value per Share (Listing Adjusted, EUR) |
= Value per Share (HKD) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= HK$ 7.66 x 0.11333 |
€0.87 |
Value per share (EUR) | From above. | €0.87 |
Current discount | Discount to share price of
€0.68
= -1 x (€0.68 - €0.87) / €0.87 |
21.6% |
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Earnings Per Share * | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in CNY | CN¥0.16 |
SEHK:100 Share Price ** | SEHK (2019-12-05) in HKD | HK$6 |
SEHK:100 Share Price converted to CNY reporting currency | Exchange rate (HKD/ CNY) 0.9 | CN¥5.4 |
Germany Media Industry PE Ratio | Median Figure of 13 Publicly-Listed Media Companies | 24.7x |
Germany Market PE Ratio | Median Figure of 404 Publicly-Listed Companies | 20.32x |
* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.
** Primary Listing of Clear Media.
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | = SEHK:100 Share Price ÷ EPS (both in CNY) = 5.4 ÷ 0.16 |
33.79x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
PE Ratio | See PE Ratio Section | 33.79x |
Net Income Annual Growth Rate | See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 0 Analysts |
Not available |
Germany Media Industry PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 8 Publicly-Listed Media Companies | 2.02x |
Germany Market PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 261 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.42x |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Book Value per Share | Company Filings (2019-06-30) in CNY | CN¥4.13 |
SEHK:100 Share Price * | SEHK (2019-12-05) in HKD | HK$6 |
SEHK:100 Share Price converted to CNY reporting currency | Exchange rate (HKD/ CNY) 0.9 | CN¥5.4 |
Germany Media Industry PB Ratio | Median Figure of 14 Publicly-Listed Media Companies | 3.05x |
Germany Market PB Ratio | Median Figure of 578 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.84x |
Calculation | Outcome | |
---|---|---|
PB Ratio | = SEHK:100 Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in CNY) = 5.4 ÷ 4.13 |
1.31x |
* Primary Listing of Clear Media.
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
How is Clear Media expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Clear Media has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Data Point | Source | Value (per year) |
---|---|---|
Germany Media Industry Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 7.9% |
Germany Media Industry Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 3.2% |
Germany Market Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 13% |
Germany Market Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 4.9% |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (5 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 1,689 | 653 | 86 |
2019-03-31 | 1,746 | 613 | 154 |
2018-12-31 | 1,804 | 574 | 221 |
2018-09-30 | 1,802 | 639 | 234 |
2018-06-30 | 1,801 | 703 | 248 |
2018-03-31 | 1,754 | 639 | 248 |
2017-12-31 | 1,706 | 575 | 247 |
2017-09-30 | 1,664 | 584 | 233 |
2017-06-30 | 1,622 | 596 | 225 |
2017-03-31 | 1,615 | 545 | 233 |
2016-12-31 | 1,608 | 494 | 241 |
2016-09-30 | 1,562 | 472 | 239 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Financials | Company Filings (5 months ago) | See Below |
Future Estimates | Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
All data from Clear Media Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | EPS * | EPS High Estimate | EPS Low Estimate | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | EPS * |
---|---|
2019-06-30 | 0.16 |
2019-03-31 | 0.28 |
2018-12-31 | 0.41 |
2018-09-30 | 0.43 |
2018-06-30 | 0.46 |
2018-03-31 | 0.46 |
2017-12-31 | 0.46 |
2017-09-30 | 0.43 |
2017-06-30 | 0.41 |
2017-03-31 | 0.43 |
2016-12-31 | 0.44 |
2016-09-30 | 0.44 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How has Clear Media performed over the past 5 years?
All data from Clear Media Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | Revenue | Net Income * | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 1,688.64 | 86.45 | 346.58 | |
2019-03-31 | 1,746.15 | 153.63 | 350.96 | |
2018-12-31 | 1,803.66 | 220.81 | 355.34 | |
2018-09-30 | 1,802.32 | 234.45 | 360.82 | |
2018-06-30 | 1,800.98 | 248.09 | 366.30 | |
2018-03-31 | 1,753.64 | 247.50 | 364.21 | |
2017-12-31 | 1,706.31 | 246.91 | 362.13 | |
2017-09-30 | 1,663.93 | 233.13 | 353.03 | |
2017-06-30 | 1,621.56 | 224.79 | 343.93 | |
2017-03-31 | 1,614.67 | 232.76 | 336.64 | |
2016-12-31 | 1,607.78 | 240.73 | 329.36 | |
2016-09-30 | 1,562.42 | 238.65 | 317.43 | |
2016-06-30 | 1,501.96 | 232.67 | 302.38 | |
2016-03-31 | 1,504.79 | 231.68 | 300.05 | |
2015-12-31 | 1,486.46 | 228.20 | 293.24 | |
2015-09-30 | 1,488.68 | 217.78 | 295.42 | |
2015-06-30 | 1,437.44 | 200.35 | 286.70 | |
2015-03-31 | 1,422.47 | 196.19 | 280.72 | |
2014-12-31 | 1,408.22 | 192.13 | 274.88 | |
2014-09-30 | 1,363.46 | 175.91 | 263.60 | |
2014-06-30 | 1,355.11 | 164.36 | 259.35 | |
2014-03-31 | 1,336.95 | 162.63 | 252.08 | |
2013-12-31 | 1,286.31 | 156.94 | 238.79 | |
2013-09-30 | 1,275.76 | 166.91 | 232.28 | |
2013-06-30 | 1,255.27 | 175.74 | 223.89 | |
2013-03-31 | 1,243.94 | 176.61 | 219.01 | |
2012-12-31 | 1,224.05 | 176.31 | 212.58 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
How is Clear Media's financial health and their level of debt?
All data from Clear Media Company Filings, last reported 5 months ago.
Date (Data in CNY Millions) | Total Equity | Total Debt | Cash & Short Term Investments |
---|---|---|---|
2019-06-30 | 2,358.19 | 0.00 | 536.35 |
2019-03-31 | 2,358.19 | 0.00 | 536.35 |
2018-12-31 | 2,514.45 | 0.00 | 473.51 |
2018-09-30 | 2,514.45 | 0.00 | 473.51 |
2018-06-30 | 2,348.51 | 0.00 | 595.36 |
2018-03-31 | 2,348.51 | 0.00 | 595.36 |
2017-12-31 | 2,339.90 | 0.00 | 337.42 |
2017-09-30 | 2,321.32 | 0.00 | 337.42 |
2017-06-30 | 2,344.09 | 0.00 | 590.36 |
2017-03-31 | 2,344.09 | 0.00 | 590.36 |
2016-12-31 | 2,282.90 | 0.00 | 441.54 |
2016-09-30 | 2,355.53 | 0.00 | 514.17 |
2016-06-30 | 2,352.59 | 0.00 | 533.02 |
2016-03-31 | 2,284.68 | 0.00 | 517.64 |
2015-12-31 | 2,348.51 | 0.00 | 577.51 |
2015-09-30 | 2,298.63 | 0.00 | 565.40 |
2015-06-30 | 2,180.37 | 0.00 | 416.33 |
2015-03-31 | 2,179.83 | 0.00 | 416.23 |
2014-12-31 | 2,397.56 | 0.00 | 839.49 |
2014-09-30 | 2,369.64 | 0.00 | 829.72 |
2014-06-30 | 2,284.14 | 0.00 | 764.89 |
2014-03-31 | 2,281.54 | 0.00 | 764.02 |
2013-12-31 | 2,252.35 | 0.00 | 697.10 |
2013-09-30 | 2,276.97 | 0.00 | 704.72 |
2013-06-30 | 2,732.38 | 0.00 | 1,154.01 |
2013-03-31 | 2,762.68 | 0.00 | 1,166.81 |
2012-12-31 | 2,716.20 | 0.00 | 1,037.22 |
What is Clear Media's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Data Point | Source | Value |
---|---|---|
Past Annualized Dividend Yield | S&P Global Market Data | See Below |
Past Dividends per Share | Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments | See Below |
Future Dividends per Share Estimates | Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
Germany Media Industry Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 8 Stocks | 5.9% |
Germany Market Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 334 Stocks | 3% |
Germany Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield | 10th Percentile | 0.8% |
Germany Bottom 25% Dividend Yield | 25th Percentile | 1.4% |
Germany Top 25% Dividend Yield | 75th Percentile | 3.7% |
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.
Date (Data in CN¥) | Dividend per Share (annual) | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|
Date (Data in CN¥) | Dividend per share (annual) | Avg. Yield (%) |
---|---|---|
2019-04-15 | 0.145 | 3.730 |
2018-11-19 | 0.375 | 6.538 |
2017-06-19 | 0.352 | 5.427 |
2017-04-24 | 0.148 | 1.935 |
2017-01-24 | 0.150 | 1.964 |
2016-02-03 | 0.133 | 2.207 |
2015-05-29 | 0.567 | 8.781 |
2014-04-28 | 0.118 | 1.869 |
2013-04-29 | 0.117 | 2.411 |
2012-08-02 | 0.040 | 1.107 |
2012-02-09 | 0.040 | 1.164 |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
Mr. Zi Jing Han serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Clear Media Ltd. Mr. Han has been with Clear Media Ltd. since 1998. He served as General Manager of Guangdong White Horse Group Corporation, a diversified company with interests ranging from property to medical equipment. He has been an Executive Director at Clear Media Ltd. since April 2001. Mr. Han also served as Director of the Hong Kong Overseas Representative Office of China Science and Technology Association, a liaison body between the PRC Government and the international science and technology communities. Mr. Han has a Bachelor’s degree and graduated from a Post Graduate course at the South China Normal University.
Average tenure and age of the Clear Media management team in years:
Average tenure and age of the Clear Media board of directors in years:
Announced | Type | Name | Entity | Role | Start | End | Shares | Max Price (€) | Value (€) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27. Sep 19 | Buy | Mittleman Brothers, LLC | Company | 26. Sep 19 | 26. Sep 19 | 569,000 | €0.46 | €259,918 | ||
11. Jan 19 | Sell | International Value Advisers, LLC | Company | 10. Jan 19 | 10. Jan 19 | -2,559,000 | €0.77 | €-1,979,348 |
Clear Media Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an outdoor advertising company in the People’s Republic of China. It provides bus shelter advertising solutions. The company serves e-commerce, IT digital product, entertainment, beverage, food, realty, business/consumer service, realty, telecommunication, and education industries. As of December 31, 2018, it operated bus shelter advertising network of approximately 54,000 panels covering 24 cities in Mainland China. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Clear Media Limited operates as a subsidiary of Clear Channel Outdoor, Inc.
Name: | Clear Media Limited |
XM8 | |
Exchange: | DB |
Founded: | 1986 |
HK$389,210,139 | |
540,641,800 | |
Website: | http://www.clear-media.net |
Address: |
Clear Media Limited Lee Garden One, 12th Floor, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong |
Exchange Symbol | Ticker Symbol | Security | Exchange | Country | Currency | Listed on | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEHK | 100 | Ordinary Shares | The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Ltd. | HK | HKD | 19. Dec 2001 | |
OTCPK | CRML.F | Ordinary Shares | Pink Sheets LLC | US | USD | 19. Dec 2001 | |
DB | XM8 | Ordinary Shares | Deutsche Boerse AG | DE | EUR | 19. Dec 2001 |
Advertising | |
Media |
Area | Date (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis updated: | 2019/12/05 20:51 |
End of day share price update: | 2019/12/05 00:00 |
Last estimates confirmation: | 2019/03/11 |
Last earnings filing: | 2019/09/26 |
Last earnings reported: | 2019/06/30 |
Last annual earnings reported: | 2018/12/31 |
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.