Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:TAX using Dividend Discount Model Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future dividends to their present value. This
approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate
(e.g. Banks/ Insurance firms).
If the firm does not pay the majority of its earnings out as a dividend this
method will often arrive at a value significantly lower than the share price.
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Takara Holdings's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Takara Holdings has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Beverage industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Takara Holdings's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Takara Holdings's earnings growth to the Germany market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Takara Holdings's revenue growth to the Germany market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Takara Holdings is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Takara Holdings is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Takara Holdings's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
2/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Mutsumi Kimura serves as President of Takara Holdings Inc. since June 28, 2018 and serves as its Representative Director. He joined Takara Shuzo Co., Ltd. (predecessor of Takara Holdings Inc.) in April 1985. He serves as Director of Takara Bio Inc. since April 2002. He serves as Managing Director of Takara Bio Inc. since June 2004. He serves as Senior Managing Director at Takara Bio Inc. since June 2007. He serves as Representative Director and Executive Vice President at Takara Bio Inc. since June 2009. He served as Representative Director and Executive Vice President at Takara Holdings Inc. (incumbent) since June 2016. He serves as Director of Takara Shuzo Co., Ltd. (incumbent) since June 2017. He serves as Representative Director and President at Takara Shuzo International Co., Ltd. (incumbent) since July 2017.
Insufficient data for Mutsumi to compare compensation growth.
Insufficient data for Mutsumi to establish whether their remuneration is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in Germany.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Takara Holdings management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
President & Representative Director
General Manager of Investor Relations Department
Senior Executive Officer
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the Takara Holdings board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors
President & Representative Director
External Audit & Supervisory Board Member
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Takara Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily manufactures and sells alcoholic beverages, seasonings, and raw alcohol worldwide. The company offers shochu, sake, light-alcohol refreshers, seasonings, Japanese alcoholic beverages, and whisky; research reagents and scientific instruments, such as PCR enzymes and real-time PCR systems for use in gene amplification; contract research services, including sequencing and contract production services for iPS cells; and gene therapy commercialization services. It also implements clinical development of gene therapies primarily for the treatment of cancer. In addition, the company is involved in the import, export, and wholesale of alcoholic beverages, food products, seasonings, etc.; and printing, real estate leasing, marketing research, sales promotion planning, temporary staffing, transportation, warehousing, automobile service, non-life insurance agency, travel agent, etc. activities. Further, it engages in the wholesale of glass bottles; and sale of feed. Takara Holdings Inc. was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
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