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Arch Coal

DB:ACCA
Snowflake Description

Undervalued with proven track record and pays a dividend.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
ACCA
DB
$415M
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. DE
  3. Energy
Company description

Arch Coal, Inc. produces and sells thermal and metallurgical coal from surface and underground mines. The last earnings update was 48 days ago. More info.


Add to Portfolio Compare Print
  • Arch Coal has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
ACCA Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
-15.8%
DB:ACCA
18.1%
DE Oil and Gas
7.3%
DE Market
1 Year Returns
-69.7%
DB:ACCA
21.9%
DE Oil and Gas
-17.7%
DE Market
ACCA Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Arch Coal (ACCA) -15.8% -44.1% -61.3% -69.7% -61.7% -
DE Oil and Gas 18.1% -15.9% -28.7% 21.9% -25.6% 137.4%
DE Market 7.3% -17.9% -25.8% -17.7% -25.6% -29%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • ACCA underperformed the Oil and Gas industry which returned 21.9% over the past year.
  • ACCA underperformed the Market in Germany which returned -17.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
ACCA
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market
Related Companies

ACCA Value

 Is Arch Coal undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Arch Coal to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Arch Coal.

DB:ACCA Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 6.2%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year DE Government Bond Rate -0.4%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for DB:ACCA
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year DE Govt Bond Rate -0.4%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 5.4%
Oil and Gas Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.81
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.808 (1 + (1- 21%) (80.47%))
1.216
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
1.22
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= -0.39% + (1.216 * 5.44%)
6.22%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:ACCA using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Arch Coal is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.

DB:ACCA DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 6.22%)
2020 25.27 Analyst x3 23.79
2021 206.70 Analyst x3 183.19
2022 266.80 Analyst x2 222.61
2023 279.52 Est @ 4.77% 219.56
2024 288.53 Est @ 3.22% 213.35
2025 294.69 Est @ 2.14% 205.15
2026 298.76 Est @ 1.38% 195.80
2027 301.29 Est @ 0.85% 185.89
2028 302.73 Est @ 0.48% 175.84
2029 303.39 Est @ 0.22% 165.89
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $1,791.00
DB:ACCA DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2029 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $303.39 × (1 + -0.39%) ÷ (6.22% – -0.39%)
$4,570.18
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $4,570.18 ÷ (1 + 6.22%)10
$2,499.01
DB:ACCA Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $1,791.00 + $2,499.01
$4,290.01
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $4,290.01 / 15.14
$283.31
DB:ACCA Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor 1 share in DB:ACCA represents 0.89846x of NYSE:ARCH
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.)
0.89846x
Value per Share
(Listing Adjusted, EUR)
= Value per Share (USD) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= $ 283.31 x 0.89846
€254.54
Value per share (EUR) From above. €254.54
Current discount Discount to share price of €24.60
= -1 x (€24.60 - €254.54) / €254.54
90.3%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Arch Coal is available for.
Intrinsic value
>50%
Share price is €24.6 vs Future cash flow value of €254.54
Current Discount Checks
For Arch Coal to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Arch Coal's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • Arch Coal's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Arch Coal's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Arch Coal's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
DB:ACCA PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2019-12-31) in USD $14.42
NYSE:ARCH Share Price ** NYSE (2020-03-30) in USD $27.38
Europe Oil and Gas Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 105 Publicly-Listed Oil and Gas Companies 5.67x
Germany Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 400 Publicly-Listed Companies 16.36x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Arch Coal.

DB:ACCA PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:ARCH Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 27.38 ÷ 14.42

1.9x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Arch Coal is good value based on earnings compared to the Europe Oil and Gas industry average.
  • Arch Coal is good value based on earnings compared to the Germany market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Arch Coal's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
DB:ACCA PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 1.9x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 3 Analysts
-0.4%per year
Europe Oil and Gas Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 65 Publicly-Listed Oil and Gas Companies 0.17x
Germany Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 254 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.2x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

DB:ACCA PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 1.9x ÷ -0.4%

-4.65x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Arch Coal earnings are not expected to grow next year, we can't assess if its growth is good value.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Arch Coal's assets?
Raw Data
DB:ACCA PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2019-12-31) in USD $42.33
NYSE:ARCH Share Price * NYSE (2020-03-30) in USD $27.38
Germany Oil and Gas Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 6 Publicly-Listed Oil and Gas Companies 0.94x
Germany Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 574 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.43x
DB:ACCA PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:ARCH Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 27.38 ÷ 42.33

0.65x

* Primary Listing of Arch Coal.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Arch Coal is good value based on assets compared to the DE Oil and Gas industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Arch Coal's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Oil and Gas industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Oil and Gas industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Arch Coal has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA Future Performance

 How is Arch Coal expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
-0.4%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Arch Coal expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Arch Coal's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the low risk savings rate of -0.4%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Arch Coal's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the Germany market average.
  • Arch Coal's revenues are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the Germany market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
DB:ACCA Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
DB:ACCA Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 3 Analysts -0.4%
DB:ACCA Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 3 Analysts -3%
Europe Oil and Gas Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13%
Europe Oil and Gas Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 2.1%
Germany Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 14.3%
Germany Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
DB:ACCA Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (2 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
DB:ACCA Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2024-12-31 496
2023-12-31 503
2022-12-31 2,072 454 219 2
2021-12-31 2,004 394 214 3
2020-12-31 1,905 332 164 3
2020-03-30
DB:ACCA Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2019-12-31 2,274 420 234
2019-09-30 2,352 486 328
2019-06-30 2,365 499 345
2019-03-31 2,387 436 325
2018-12-31 2,452 418 313
2018-09-30 2,361 360 308
2018-06-30 2,341 341 253
2018-03-31 2,299 338 247
2017-12-31 2,325 396 238
2017-09-30 2,340 189 625
2017-06-30 2,277 117 505
2017-03-31 2,147 -8 292

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Arch Coal's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
  • Arch Coal's revenue is expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
DB:ACCA Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (2 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Arch Coal Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

DB:ACCA Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2024-12-31
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 14.14 17.48 9.96 3.00
2021-12-31 12.53 18.61 7.88 4.00
2020-12-31 9.71 11.95 7.02 4.00
2020-03-30
DB:ACCA Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2019-12-31 14.42
2019-09-30 19.29
2019-06-30 19.26
2019-03-31 17.29
2018-12-31 15.90
2018-09-30 15.02
2018-06-30 11.72
2018-03-31 10.87
2017-12-31 10.05
2017-09-30 22.84
2017-06-30 18.86
2017-03-31 11.25

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Arch Coal is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Arch Coal's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the Europe market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the Europe market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Arch Coal has a total score of 1/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA Past Performance

  How has Arch Coal performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Arch Coal's growth in the last year to its industry (Oil and Gas).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Arch Coal has delivered over 20% year on year earnings growth in the past 5 years.
  • Arch Coal's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the 5-year average.
  • Arch Coal's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the Europe Oil and Gas industry average.
Earnings and Revenue History
Arch Coal's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Arch Coal Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

DB:ACCA Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2019-12-31 2,274.35 233.80 97.83
2019-09-30 2,351.54 328.44 103.67
2019-06-30 2,365.25 344.87 103.96
2019-03-31 2,387.38 325.33 102.11
2018-12-31 2,451.79 312.58 103.50
2018-09-30 2,361.07 307.75 99.43
2018-06-30 2,341.43 252.91 97.66
2018-03-31 2,298.94 246.77 95.66
2017-12-31 2,324.62 238.45 89.89
2017-09-30 2,340.07 624.64 89.12
2017-06-30 2,276.83 504.87 87.51
2017-03-31 2,147.27 291.82 83.84
2016-12-31 1,974.40 33.45 84.79
2016-09-30 1,961.96 -1,066.38 85.52
2016-06-30 2,100.20 -3,014.43 90.76
2016-03-31 2,324.36 -3,006.65 96.00
2015-12-31 2,573.26 -2,913.14 98.78
2015-09-30 2,755.20 -2,520.91 99.62
2015-06-30 2,808.84 -618.65 102.03
2015-03-31 2,878.15 -547.41 107.69
2014-12-31 2,937.12 -558.35 114.22
2014-09-30 2,911.31 -691.01 124.34
2014-06-30 2,960.40 -801.56 125.00
2014-03-31 3,012.96 -785.05 129.38
2013-12-31 3,014.36 -745.23 133.45
2013-09-30 3,162.01 -679.47 131.31
2013-06-30 3,345.91 -447.03 135.77
2013-03-31 3,545.26 -809.20 136.65

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Arch Coal has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
  • Arch Coal used its assets more efficiently than the Europe Oil and Gas industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Arch Coal has become profitable over the past 3 years. This is considered to be a significant improvement in its use of capital (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Arch Coal's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Oil and Gas industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Arch Coal has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA Health

 How is Arch Coal's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Arch Coal's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Arch Coal is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Arch Coal's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Arch Coal's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2.3x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Arch Coal Company Filings, last reported 2 months ago.

DB:ACCA Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2019-12-31 640.54 313.82 288.69
2019-09-30 705.44 308.11 351.48
2019-06-30 697.95 310.93 395.09
2019-03-31 699.95 312.94 383.41
2018-12-31 704.82 317.98 427.73
2018-09-30 687.14 314.31 408.21
2018-06-30 640.95 317.69 402.48
2018-03-31 688.46 322.07 432.98
2017-12-31 665.87 325.92 429.23
2017-09-30 672.48 321.17 452.97
2017-06-30 785.06 323.05 493.37
2017-03-31 801.71 325.93 470.09
2016-12-31 746.58 362.88 393.44
2016-09-30 -1,676.09 5,060.24 511.66
2016-06-30 -1,626.99 5,063.10 473.23
2016-03-31 -1,449.13 5,067.94 594.19
2015-12-31 -1,244.29 5,073.31 650.97
2015-09-30 -605.44 5,140.73 694.52
2015-06-30 1,394.03 5,146.34 689.41
2015-03-31 1,560.32 5,152.35 939.49
2014-12-31 1,668.15 5,160.37 983.19
2014-09-30 1,934.40 5,156.16 1,045.00
2014-06-30 2,031.39 5,143.62 988.80
2014-03-31 2,126.69 5,142.95 1,114.33
2013-12-31 2,253.25 5,151.50 1,159.51
2013-09-30 2,581.65 5,097.43 1,381.85
2013-06-30 2,710.91 5,102.48 892.67
2013-03-31 2,782.35 5,110.51 978.53
  • Arch Coal's level of debt (49%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has been reduced over the past 5 years (309.6% vs 49% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (133.7%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 32.5x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Arch Coal's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Arch Coal has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA Dividends

 What is Arch Coal's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
7.3%
Current annual income from Arch Coal dividends. Estimated to be 7.3% next year.
If you bought €2,000 of Arch Coal shares you are expected to receive €146 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Arch Coal's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in Germany (1.7%).
  • Arch Coal's dividend is above the markets top 25% of dividend payers in Germany (4.97%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
DB:ACCA Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 3 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
Europe Oil and Gas Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 68 Stocks 9.1%
Germany Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 323 Stocks 3.9%
Germany Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 1%
Germany Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.7%
Germany Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 5%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

DB:ACCA Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2024-12-31
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 2.00 2.00
2021-12-31 2.00 3.00
2020-12-31 2.00 3.00
2020-03-30
DB:ACCA Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2020-02-06 2.000 4.822
2019-10-22 1.800 2.541
2019-04-23 1.800 2.140
2019-02-14 1.800 1.984
2018-10-23 1.600 1.853
2018-07-31 1.600 1.768
2018-04-26 1.600 1.987
2018-02-23 1.600 1.679
2018-02-13 1.600 1.708
2017-10-31 1.400 1.618
2017-07-27 1.400 1.881
2017-05-02 1.400 1.988

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Whilst dividend payments have been stable, Arch Coal has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
  • Dividend payments have increased, but Arch Coal only paid a dividend in the past 3 years.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Arch Coal's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Dividends paid are thoroughly covered by earnings (8x coverage).
Future Payout to shareholders
  • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be thoroughly covered by earnings (7.4x coverage).
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Arch Coal's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 1%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Arch Coal afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Arch Coal has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA Management

 What is the CEO of Arch Coal's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
John Eaves
COMPENSATION $2,934,455
AGE 61
TENURE AS CEO 7.9 years
CEO Bio

Mr. John W. Eaves, also known as Jo, has been Chief Executive Officer of Arch Coal, Inc. since April 26, 2012. Mr. Eaves served as President of Arch Coal, Inc since April 28, 2006 until April 23, 2015. He served as the Chief Operating Officer at Arch Coal Inc. since December 2002 until April 26, 2012. Mr. Eaves joined Arch Coal Inc. in 1987 and served as its Executive Vice President from December 2002 to April 28, 2006. He served as Senior Vice President of Marketing at Arch Coal Inc. from February 2000 to December 2002. He served as President of Arch Coal Sales Company Inc. from September 1995 to December 2002. Mr. Eaves served as the Vice President of Marketing at Arch Coal Inc. from July 1997 to February 2000. He served in various capacities with Diamond Shamrock, Arch's predecessor and Natomas Coal Company. He has more than 30 years of experience in the coal industry. Mr. Eaves served as Chairman of the Board at Arch Coal Inc. since April 23, 2015 until October 7, 2016. Mr. Eaves served as Vice Chairman of Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc. until November 10, 2011 and served as its Interim Vice Chairman since March 2006. He has been an Independent Director at CF Industries Holdings, Inc. since July 24, 2017. He is a Director of International Coal Group, Inc. and CoaLogix Inc. Mr. Eaves has been a Director at Arch Coal Inc. since February 23, 2006. Mr. Eaves has been a Director of CoaLogix Inc. since July 2009. He served as a Director of Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc. from October 2003 to November 10, 2011. He serves on the boards of the National Association of Manufacturers and the National Mining Association. Mr. Eaves holds a B.S. from the University of Kentucky and completed the Executive Management program at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and the Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.

CEO Compensation
  • John's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
  • John's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in Germany.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Arch Coal management team in years:

8
Average Tenure
57
Average Age
  • The average tenure for the Arch Coal management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Management Team

John Eaves

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
61
TENURE
7.9 yrs

Paul Lang

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$2M
AGE
58
TENURE
4.9 yrs

John Drexler

TITLE
Chief Operating Officer
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
49
TENURE
11.9 yrs

John Ziegler

TITLE
Senior VP & Chief Administrative Officer
COMPENSATION
$785K
AGE
52
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Bob Jones

TITLE
Senior VP of Law
COMPENSATION
$906K
AGE
62
TENURE
20 yrs

John Lorson

TITLE
VP & Chief Accounting Officer

Deck Slone

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Strategy & Public Policy
AGE
55
TENURE
11.6 yrs

Matt Ferguson

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Metallurgical & International Thermal Coal - Arch Coal Sales
TENURE
8 yrs

Paul Demzik

TITLE
Senior VP & Chief Commercial Officer
AGE
57
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Greg Szczepan

TITLE
Controller & Director of External Financial Reporting
TENURE
11.9 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Arch Coal board of directors in years:

3.4
Average Tenure
57
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Arch Coal board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Jim Chapman

TITLE
Lead Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$173K
AGE
57
TENURE
3.4 yrs

John Eaves

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
61
TENURE
14 yrs

Paul Lang

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$2M
AGE
58

Patrick Kriegshauser

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$125K
AGE
57
TENURE
3.4 yrs

Rick Navarre

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$120K
AGE
58
TENURE
3.4 yrs

Patrick Bartels

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$116K
AGE
44
TENURE
3.4 yrs

Sherman Edmiston

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$115K
AGE
57
TENURE
3.4 yrs

Bob Hamill

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$168K
AGE
56
TENURE
1 yrs

Holly Koeppel

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$168K
AGE
60
TENURE
1 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price (€) Value (€)
13. Dec 19 Sell Holly Koeppel Individual 13. Dec 19 13. Dec 19 -1,200 €68.96 €-81,959
24. Oct 19 Sell Monarch Alternative Capital LP Company 13. Sep 19 23. Oct 19 -361,737 €77.03 €-27,405,480
13. Sep 19 Sell Monarch Alternative Capital LP Company 10. Sep 19 12. Sep 19 -150,550 €75.01 €-11,283,173
02. Aug 19 Buy James Chapman Individual 02. Aug 19 02. Aug 19 1,000 €70.87 €70,872
02. Aug 19 Buy Robert Hamill Individual 02. Aug 19 02. Aug 19 1,000 €70.58 €70,584
01. Aug 19 Buy Holly Koeppel Individual 01. Aug 19 01. Aug 19 2,200 €80.46 €177,004
08. Aug 19 Buy Robert Hamill Individual 26. Apr 19 26. Apr 19 1,000 €88.66 €88,657
X
Management checks
We assess Arch Coal's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Arch Coal has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ACCA News

Simply Wall St News

ACCA Company Info

Description

Arch Coal, Inc. produces and sells thermal and metallurgical coal from surface and underground mines. As of December 31, 2019, the company operated eight active mines. It also owned or controlled primarily through long-term leases approximately 28,292 acres of coal land in Ohio; 1,060 acres of coal land in Maryland; 10,095 acres of coal land in Virginia; 323,736 acres of coal land in West Virginia; 81,470 acres of coal land in Wyoming; 268,337 acres of coal land in Illinois; 33,272 acres of coal land in Kentucky; 9,840 acres of coal land in Montana; 358 acres of coal land in Pennsylvania; and 19,146 acres of coal land in Colorado, as well as smaller parcels of property in Alabama, Indiana, Washington, Arkansas, California, Utah, and Texas. The company sells its products to utility, industrial, and steel producers in the United States, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, and Africa. Arch Coal, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

Details
Name: Arch Coal, Inc.
ACCA
Exchange: DB
Founded: 1969
$375,799,501
15,142,684
Website: http://www.archcoal.com
Address: Arch Coal, Inc.
One CityPlace Drive,
Suite 300,
St. Louis,
Missouri, 63141,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE ARCH Class A Common Stock New York Stock Exchange US USD 05. Oct 2016
DB ACCA Class A Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 05. Oct 2016
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
3,700
Arch Coal employees.
Industry
Coal and Consumable Fuels
Energy
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2020/03/30 23:49
End of day share price update: 2020/03/30 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2020/03/24
Last earnings filing: 2020/02/11
Last earnings reported: 2019/12/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2019/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.