Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:I3N using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
DB:I3N DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Chart Industries's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Chart Industries's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Chart Industries's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Chart Industries's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.
Chart Industries's revenue is expected to grow by 5.6% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Chart Industries's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Chart Industries's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Chart Industries is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Chart Industries's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Chart Industries's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.9x debt.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Ms. Jillian C. Evanko, also known as Jill, is President and Chief Executive Officer of Chart Industries, Inc., serving in this capacity since June 13, 2018. Ms. Evanko joined Chart Industries, Inc. on February 13, 2017 as Vice President of Finance after serving as the Vice President of Truck-Lite Co., LLC since October 2016. Prior to her position at Truck-Lite Co., LLC, Ms. Evanko held multiple executive positions at Dover Corporation and its subsidiaries, including the role of Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Dover Fluids since January 2014. Prior to joining Dover in 2004, Ms. Evanko worked in valuation services at Arthur Andersen, LLP and also held audit and accounting roles for Honeywell and Sony Corporation of America. In addition to serving on Chart’s Board of Directors, Ms. Evanko also serves as a director of Alliant Energy, Interstate Power and Light Company and Wisconsin Power and Light Company since February 25, 2019. She received a Master’s of Business Administration from The University of Notre Dame and a Bachelor of Science in Business Administration from La Salle University.
Jill's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
Jill's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in Germany.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Chart Industries management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
Chief Operating Officer
VP, General Counsel & Secretary
VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Group Vice President of Sales
Director of Corporate Development
President of E & C FinFans
President of E & C Cryogenics
President of Chart Industries Distribution & Supply
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Chart Industries board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Board of Directors
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
More shares have been bought than sold by Chart Industries individual insiders in the past 3 months.
Chart Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells engineered equipment for the energy and industrial gas industries worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Distribution & Storage Eastern Hemisphere, Distribution & Storage Western Hemisphere, Energy & Chemicals Cryogenics, and E&C FinFans. It provides brazed aluminum, Core-in-Kettle, air cooled, and shell and tube heat exchangers; cold boxes, high pressure reactors, and process systems; and axial cooling fans for power, heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refining end user applications. The company also offers bulk and packaged gas cryogenic solutions for the storage, distribution, vaporization, and application of industrial gases; and cryogenic components, including vacuum insulated pipes, engineered bulk gas installations, specialty liquid nitrogen, end-use equipment, and cryogenic flow meters for gas producers and distributors. In addition, it provides cryogenic trailers, ISO containers, railcars, bulk storage tanks, fuel stations, loading facilities, and regasification equipment for delivering liquefied natural gas into virtual pipeline applications; large vacuum insulated storage tanks as equipment for purchasers of standard liquefaction plants; and vacuum insulated containment vessels for the storage of biological materials in medical and veterinary laboratories, biotech/pharmaceutical research facilities, blood and tissue banks, large-scale repositories, and artificial insemination. Further, the company designs and manufactures pressure equipment for cryogenic, energy, and petrochemical end markets. Additionally, it provides plant start-up, 24/7 support, monitoring and process optimization, repairing, maintenance, and upgrading services, as well as extended warranties and parts; and operates service locations that undertake installation, service, repair, maintenance, and refurbishment of cryogenic products. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Ball Ground, Georgia.
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