Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for CNSX:AGRO using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
Agrios Global Holdings
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt.
CNSX:AGRO DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
Agrios Global Holdings
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
Agrios Global Holdings
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Agrios Global Holdings's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Agrios Global Holdings's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
Agrios Global Holdings's
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Agrios Global Holdings's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Unable to determine if Agrios Global Holdings is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Agrios Global Holdings's revenue is expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Agrios Global Holdings's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Agrios Global Holdings
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Agrios Global Holdings's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Agrios Global Holdings is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Agrios Global Holdings's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Agrios Global Holdings's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.2x debt.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Analysts Expect Breakeven For Agrios Global Holdings Ltd. (CNSX:AGRO)
Agrios Global Holdings Ltd.'s (CNSX:AGRO):. … The CA$56m market-cap posted a loss in its most recent financial year of -US$746.9k and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of -US$5.4m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. … Check out our latest analysis for Agrios Global Holdings
Why Agrios Global Holdings Ltd. (CNSX:AGRO) Could Be Your Next Investment
Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card! … As an investor, I look for investments which does not compromise one fundamental factor for another. … By this I mean, I look at stocks holistically, from their financial health to their future outlook.
What Kind Of Shareholder Owns Most Agrios Global Holdings Ltd (CNSX:AGRO) Stock?
A look at the shareholders of Agrios Global Holdings Ltd (CNSX:AGRO) can tell us which group is most powerful. … Large companies usually have institutions as shareholders, and we usually see insiders owning shares in smaller companies. … Agrios Global Holdings is not a large company by global standards.
Agrios Global Holdings Ltd. operates as a data analytics driven agriculture technology and services company. The company leases and manages properties and equipment for eco-sustainable agronomy and provides advisory services to support various aspects of aeroponic cultivation in the cannabis sector in the state of Washington. Agrios Global Holdings Ltd. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
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